Donkey Rising: Democracy Corps: Kerry 49-47, Kerry 52-45 in Battlegrounds

[StlMo]

Donkey Rising


October 26, 2004

Latest LA Times Poll: Kerry/Edwards Leading By 1% in Horserace

In a poll released October 25 the LA Times has Kerry/Edwards leading Bush/Cheney 48% to 47% in a 2-way RV matchup.

...

Latest Democracy Corps Survey Shows Kerry Up By Two Nationwide and Leading 52-45 in Battleground States.

The latest Democracy Corps survey, conducted Oct 23-25 Shows John Kerry leading George Bush 49-47 in their national sample and 52-45 in the battleground states. The poll also found that Kerry is ahead by 22 pts among new voters and includes substantial additional information on the latest trends among population subgroups and target voters.

...

Latest Pennsylvania Poll is 13th to Show Kerry Leading Bush, This Time by 49-44

The latest poll of Pennsylvania voters, conducted by Philadelphia Daily News/Keystone Oct 19-23 shows John Kerry leading 49 to 44 percent among registered voters and 51 to 46 percent among likely voters. The survey also shows Bush's approval rating at an anemic 42%.

...

Latest ARG Polls: Kerry Leading By 3% in Florida, 2% In Ohio, 3% in Pennsylvania.

The latest polls from the American Research Group, conducted October 23-25, show John Kerry ahead in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Earlier ARG surveys also showed Kerry ahead in New Mexico and Oregon and tied in Wisconsin and Iowa. The complete ARG results are shown below.

Bush Kerry Nader DK Oct
Florida 46% 49% 1% 4% 23-25
Ohio 47% 49% * 4% 23-25
Pennsylvania 47% 50% * 3% 23-25
Wisconsin 47% 47% 2% 4% 16-19
New Mexico 46% 48% 1% 5% 16-18
New Hampshire 47% 46% 1% 6% 16-18
Oregon 44% 49% 2% 5% 9-12
Iowa 47% 47% 2% 4% 10-12
* Ralph Nader is not on the ballot

...

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising


Reformatted ARG Table:

_____________ Bush Kerry Na DK Oct
Florida________ 46% 49% 1% 4% 23-25
Ohio__________ 47% 49% ** 4% 23-25
Pennsylvania___ 47% 50% ** 3% 23-25
Wisconsin______ 47% 47% 2% 4% 16-19
New Mexico____ 46% 48% 1% 5% 16-18
New Hampshire_ 47% 46% 1% 6% 16-18
Oregon________ 44% 49% 2% 5% 9-12
Iowa__________ 47% 47% 2% 4% 10-12
** Ralph Nader is not on the ballot

[deadparrot]

1. NH for *? Weird.

[swag]

2. MOE + Random Walk down Poll Street.

Not to worry.

VOTE YOURSELF AND GET OUT THE VOTE!

[deadparrot]

4. Not worrying! it just seems a foreign thing. :)

Kerry's been up 7 or so points lately, just kind of made me do a double take.

[jefferson_dem]

3. Jaded poll - Oct 16-18. We know Kerry's got that one in the bag now.

[StlMo]

7. It does seem a bit unlikely.

More New Hampshire Polls:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/new-hampshire.html

[Andromeda]

5. Whoopie! Now this is a poll I like!

:bounce:This poll just feels right, ya know?

[StlMo]

8. Me too!

:)

[Quixote1818]

6. It's nice to see Kerry back up in New Mexico

Pete Dominichi (sp?) made a comment in Farmington that pissed off a Bunch of Native Americans. He said something to the effect that if they were voting for Kerry they were not very sharp. They had it on the News tonight. Several Indians were offended and they said it probably cost Bush votes in San Juan County.

[StlMo]

9. Yes, it's great to see Kerry up in New Mexico.

:dem:

[StlMo]

10. Kerry is winning Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Victory in these three states translates into President Kerry.