Nevada Early Voting Analysis

[StevenD]

First the registered voters in Nevada by party with breakdown for the two biggest counties.

County Dem Rep Ind/Third
Clark (Vegas) 298,246 254,952 131,115
Washoe (Reno) 83,609 101,212 48,274
All Other Counties 47,893 78,075 27,725
Totals 429,748 434,239 207,114

As you see, Pugs have about 4500 more registered voters than Dems. Voter registration fraud hurt us here.

Below are early voter totals as reported from Clark and Washoe counties, broken down by party. I didn’t find the smaller counties reported on the net.

Dem Rep Ind/Third
Clark co 70,581 64,920 23,747
Washoe 7,541 7,604 2,490
Totals 78,122 72,524 26,237

Assuming that Kerry gets 88% of Dems, 6% of Pugs and 60% of others, (ignoring third party candidates) then the vote looks like this as of close of business Monday.

Kerry Bush
90,291 86,592

Play around with your own assumptions for fun.

If we add 10% early voters from the smaller counties we get these numbers using the same assumptions:

Kerry Bush
96,794 95,458

The race is probably very tight based on early voting. It is all going to come down to TURNOUT.

[bagnana]

1. The Sproul company should be put out of business

And Sproul should be sent to federal prison for vote tampering. I HATE THEM!!!

[DeepModem Mom]

2. Wish we'd been able to stop this pre-election fraud -- damn!