Kerry has lead in Miami Dade(FL), poll says

[Thrill]

But there is a little bad news too


Democratic presidential candidate Sen. John Kerry holds a comfortable lead among Miami-Dade County voters, much as former Vice President Al Gore did in 2000, a Herald poll shows.

The biggest exception is the Cuban-American vote, which still overwhelmingly favors President Bush.

The poll, conducted for The Herald by Zogby International, shows Kerry favored by 54 percent to Bush's 41 percent. But among Cuban Americans, a voting bloc targeted by the Democrats, nearly 79 percent say they back Bush.

''If you talk strictly numbers, Kerry is in very good shape in Miami-Dade,'' pollster John Zogby said in an interview. ``But if you're talking about intensity, Miami is a testimonial in many ways to where we are as a country, high intensity polarization.''

For the poll, 750 likely voters were called from Oct. 22 through Oct. 25. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points for the full poll, and higher for subgroups. Zogby, whose company is based in Utica, NY, said about 10 percent of the poll workers were fluent in Spanish.

Miami-Dade, the most populated county in this important swing state, has been the focus of a political battle, with both Kerry and Bush visiting repeatedly during the past few months. Even a slight alteration in voting patterns could affect the outcome of the election in Florida, which decided the 2000 presidential race by 537 votes.

http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/10023125.htm?1c

[Randi_Listener]

1. Shit!

It's about fucking time that the REAL numbers were shown.

[Miami Liberal]

2. I knew my county wouldn't let Kerry down!

:party: :bounce: :party:

[Awsi Dooger]

3. Ten percent bilingual poll workers is not going to cut it in Miami

If that's typical of Zogby state polls, no wonder they suck.

We need huge numbers out of South Florida. And more than 21% among Cubans. But I lived there long enough, and have visited twice a year since, to understand it wasn't going to be much higher than that. In September, seemingly every Cuban lawn had a Martinez (GOP senate nominee) sign, even when we were boarding up and dodging hurricanes.