ciaobox
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:39 AM
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Bookies pick Kerry 20 to 1 |
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Odds on Kerry in Europe are 20 to 1!!!! Kerry by a landslide
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demokatgurrl
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:39 AM
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1. link? which bookies where? n/t |
Randi_Listener
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:40 AM
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RevCheesehead
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:41 AM
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3. That is one beautiful map you've got there! |
deadmessengers
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:44 AM
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8. It's unrealistic, but it sure is pretty |
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I mean come on... Mississippi? Tennessee? GEORGIA?!? I live in GA. Shrub will win here by 15% at the bare minimum, 25% outside Fulton and Dekalb counties.
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nickinSTL
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:41 AM
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Not really someone I consider a reliable source.
I like your Electoral Vote map, though I think it's a bit optimistic :D
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ciaobox
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:42 AM
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5. No Link - Bookies in London |
yellowcanine
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:42 AM
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6. Wow you are dreaming with that map. I like it though. |
Michael_UK
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:44 AM
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7. Not at Ladbrokes or William Hill |
Ugnmoose
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:45 AM
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9. Your map looks good except |
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only change I would make is to give Bush Mississippi, although I it will be alot closer than some might think.
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Joe the Revelator
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:46 AM
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10. 20-1 are not good odds people... |
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That means for every 1 dollar someone bets, if they win, they will get 20 dollars.
Great odds would be 1-20.
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pelagius
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:47 AM
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11. Y'all know that betting odds... |
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Edited on Wed Oct-27-04 10:49 AM by pelagius
...are based on betting sentiment, right? So a 20-1 call for Kerry only means that the bettors (mostly Brits, right?) think Kerry has a one-in-20 chance to win?. Would you bring your umbrella if there were a 5% chance of rain.
But I do like that LA Times map!
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Kahuna
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:47 AM
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12. Well then! No wonder Tweety has changed his mind. Just a month.. |
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ago, he was saying that * would win because the bookies said so. :puke:
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giant_robot
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:48 AM
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13. Not according to the links I've found |
ciaobox
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:53 AM
Response to Reply #13 |
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Just repeating what someone said on AAR this morning. Either way>>> Kerry by a LANDSLIDE
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Paradise
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:49 AM
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14. went to latimes.com and the map i see is quite different! ??? |
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click on this link and map will show you the latest polling data from each state. http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/election-test-fl,0,1851284.flash?coll=la-home-multimedia it's an interactive map to test your own scenarios. that's some scenario you have created!
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aden_nak
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:50 AM
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15. Georgia? Mississippi? |
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Edited on Wed Oct-27-04 10:50 AM by aden_nak
I appreciate the vote of confidence from Europe, but I don't think those states are going to fare that well. Georgia has, maybe, a slim chance (just because it's become very densely populated recently, and that suggests more urban lifestyles). I expect that we will win, but not by that many ELECTORAL votes.
On the flip side, I advise EVERYONE to bet money on a Bush victory.
Why, you ask? Well, if Kerry wins the election, you'll be happy to give the money up.
If Bush wins the election, shit. . . you're going to need the extra cash!
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otohara
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:55 AM
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18. Georgia - Mississippi - Blue??? |
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I don't see that happening at all...It's a fantasy of mine, but I'm realistic.
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Maddy McCall
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Wed Oct-27-04 12:02 PM
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23. Mississippi has more of a chance going for Kerry than Georgia. |
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Don't count us out. The polls before the debates had Bush with ONLY A NINE POINT LEAD. I have distributed over a hundred Kerry signs in the past two weeks. People are hungry for change.
Look into what Haley Barbour has done to Mississippi since he was elected--namely kicking 65,000 people off Medicaid. They vote, as do their families.
Don't count us out. We may not go blue, but we won't be solid Bush, either.
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idaholeft
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Wed Oct-27-04 10:53 AM
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Actually, most have * as a slight (very slight) favorite. http://www.oddschecker.com/oddschecker/mode/o/card/cc8859x/odds/243698x/sid/377975You can see odds on lots of stuff; outcomes in battle ground states, popular vote winner, there's even and over/under on turnout.
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newyawker99
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Wed Oct-27-04 11:59 AM
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ILeft
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Wed Oct-27-04 11:05 AM
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19. Nice disclaimer at William Hill: |
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"Predict the winner on the 2004 Presidential Election - NOT the Inauguration in 2005 (Election is November 2004)" http://www.willhill.com/iibs/EN/buildcoupon.asp?CouponChoice=PO407741&Rules=true&compid=645722&opptype=Kerry's security IS immediately stepped up to POTUS level if he wins the election, right?
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tridim
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Wed Oct-27-04 11:13 AM
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20. Why would anyone take or place bets on a proven rigged contest? |
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Even if Kerry wins as expected, the spread is almost guaranteed to be completely inaccurate. How would the bookies pay out on a tied race that's decided by congress? Sounds like a sucker's bet to me.
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GOPBasher
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Wed Oct-27-04 11:16 AM
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21. We'll win, but not by that much. |
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Come on, I'd settle for a solid 300 eV's.
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Maddy McCall
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Wed Oct-27-04 12:08 PM
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Edited on Wed Oct-27-04 12:19 PM by jchild
It was a stupid question.
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