Zogby (Oct 27) Bush 48% Kerry 47%

[Rose Siding]

Democratic challenger, Senator John Kerry bounces back into a statistical dead-heat race with President George W. Bush (Kerry 47%-Bush 48%), according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll. The poll data this evening has leaners factored into the overall results. The telephone poll of 1203 likely voters was conducted from Sunday through Tuesday (October 24-26, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage point.

....

Pollster John Zogby: "Today was a big day for Kerry, with a 5 point lead in the single day of polling. Kerry has managed to consolidate a big chunk of his base just as Bush has done on his own behalf. Kerry leads 2 to 1 among Hispanics; he is getting 90% of African Americans; 84% of Democrats; 55% of union voters; 65% of singles; and well over 50% of all voters earning under $50K.

http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2004/10/27/1098667842419.html?oneclick=true

[rockymountaindem]

1. If we're getting over 50% of voters earning under 50K

does that undermine the idea that people are voting on social issues against their economic betterment?

[whistle]

2. American Research Group show some pretty good numbers for Kerry...

...placing Kerry 47% and Bush 44% across the country

_ State ____ Bush Kerry Nader DK Oct

Florida.......... 46% 49% 1% 4% 23-25

Ohio............. 47% 49% * 4% 23-25

Pennsylvania... 47% 50% * 3% 23-25

Wisconsin....... 47% 47% 2% 4% 16-19

New Mexico..... 46% 48% 1% 5% 16-18

New Hampshire. 47% 46% 1% 6% 16-18

Oregon........... 44% 49% 2% 5% 9-12

Iowa............... 47% 47% 2% 4% 10-12

* Ralph Nader is not on the ballot

<link> http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/


The site also has an electoral vote calculator you can play with:

<link> http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/ev/

[Rose Siding]

3. Very good to see Iowa tighten up, and look at NM!

NH is a concern, though

It's great in the top 3, too!