WP/ABC poll -- a ? with an hour to go --

[nixonwasbetterthanW]

If Kerry is at 51 today, who will be laying in the champagne in the fridge?

[Goldmund]

1. Save the Champagne for Nov 2nd.

You don't want to run out, you'll be needing it then.

On Edit: oh and by the way, I doubt that Kerry will be at 51. In a few days he will, not today. My intuition.

[Fluffdaddy]

18. Word !!!

[DaveinMD]

2. don't count your chickens

tracking polls fluctuate and could very well show Bush in the lead if he had one good day of polling.

[sonicx]

3. i'll guess 49-48. they won't let kerry get up too much.

[Robert Oak]

4. Not I ...it's amazing the country is 50-50 which is what it looks like

this is one hell of a ride.

[sonicx]

6. can't be 50-50. there's always 1% each for undecideds and Nader.

[NDFan]

14. 46-46

It's a 46-46 country.

[Wat_Tyler]

24. That was your 46th post.

[NDFan]

41. !!

:tinfoilhat:

:smoke: :D

[redsoxliberal]

5. polls are nice, and when they show kerry up, great, but...

it's a small sample... the only poll I really care about will be counted on 11/2.

[Sean Reynolds]

7. It'll be 50-49.

[sonicx]

10. 2% needs to be left for Nader and undecideds

[Sean Reynolds]

16. Well it'll be a tie.....cause I don't see Kerry getting 51%

[West Coast Democrat]

8. It was VERY major for Kerry to get at 50% in this poll....

Gore never led * in that poll in 2000, so he was nowhere near 50% at any time (Gore never got above 46% and was usually at 45%). When I see Kerry at 50% in this poll, and given that this poll predicted a 3% win for * in their final 2000 tracking poll, I'd say it can't get much better for Kerry.

[Kahuna]

9. I'm already planning that trip to pick up the champagne.

:bounce:

[chromotone]

11. Pick me up a bottle too, will'ya?

Oh, wait! Payday is the 1st. Never mind!

[Kahuna]

20. LOL! Actually, my bottle will be for Nov. 2. In that case..

I've got you covered. ;)

[Shopaholic]

12. I am saving my champagne for inaguration day. . .

when we really take back our country again!

[debatepro]

15. 40 oz

do it right break out the forty.

[vickie]

13. We have to win, first. Remember, Rove will do anything he can

to prevent Kerry's legitimate victory.

[loudsue]

17. Yep. I expect them to thwart a terrorist attack before election day...

and wear their Superman constumes when they report it all over the media.

Of course, I'm sure it's been in the works for a while...didn't rove say he had some more "surprises" before the election??

:kick::kick:

[Maine-ah]

19. put 'em on ice

put 'em on ice, don't lay champagne down, when you open it, it will explode. Rather like Bushies big fat head when he realizes he's lost. :explode

[NYCliberal]

21. New NJ Poll

What is up with the NJ poll that shows * and Kerry tied at 46%?

[HFishbine]

22. LOL!

You mean 50 to 43.

http://www.electoral-vote.com


Oh, and welcome to DU.

[DemocracyInaction]

26. Fishbine---I saw that today, too. MSNBC was putting up a few polls

(I think it was them). They had one for Kerry which I think was PA and then they had one for Bush which I think was Ohio........anyway, then they slapped up a Quinnipac (sp?) poll for NJ with those numbers 46-46) and I went "what the f---". Anyway, I cannot believe that is happening and wonder how old the poll was because there were some problems for awhile. What other info do we have on NJ. In fact, what other info do we have on Ohio and NM because I just don't know what to make of those two states. Thanks

[HFishbine]

30. See here:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/new-jersey.html

[NYCliberal]

34. electoral-vote.com freaks me out

They show * winning with 274 EV

[kostya]

39. To make you feel better about electoral-vote.com...

1. look at their predicted map instead (link in the table below the map on the home page)

2. remember that this is about the only site that only takes into account the most recent SINGLE poll, so it fluctuates more than others.

3. Visit Prof. Sam Wang's site, he makes a prediction based on how the undecideds should break: http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html and anyway, his highly technical analysis takes your mind off things for a while :)

4. Try http://www.race2004.net - more polls averaged, though she has it pretty tight right now K 273, B 265

5. Steer clear of RealClear, they are GOP sharks.

- K

[NYCliberal]

32. Latest Polls I Could Find on OH and NM - Reuters

I found this on Reuters website, as of late yesterday:

"The state-by-state results: In Colorado, Kerry led 49-47 percent; Florida, Bush 49-45 percent; Iowa, tied 45-45 percent; Michigan, Kerry 49-44 percent; Minnesota, Kerry 46-44 percent; New Mexico, Bush 48-43 percent; Nevada, Bush 49-46 percent; Ohio, Bush 46-44 percent; Pennsylvania, Kerry 49-45 percent; and Wisconsin, Kerry 48-46 percent."

[NYCliberal]

29. URL for new NJ poll

Here's the NJ poll I saw: http://www.nj.com/newsflash/jersey/index.ssf?/base/elections-0/1098880763210670.xml&storylist=jersey

I cannot understand this at all.

[DaveinMD]

31. the same outfit

had Hillary and Lazio tied going into the election. Kerry is winning New Jersey as other polling shows.

[in_cog_ni_to]

35. I like this much better!

Where the hell did they get 46/46?

[Cats Against Frist]

23. WTF!!!!???

:wtf:

[Wat_Tyler]

25. Much.

Much is up with that poll.

[sonicx]

27. WTF indeed

[shawmut]

33. Let's hope coward spends some more time there

lot's of :wtf: posts today.

[Doosh]

36. they'll keep Bush in the game, I predict a 48-48 tie

[blm]

38. Press propaganda laying groundwork for Bushboy to steal the election.

Remember, presstitutes had Bush at 51% to Gore 39% this time in 2000.

[bushwakker]

28. Whatever it is the media spin will be Bush's "strong" showing

[kostya]

37. Not planning that far ahead, just trying to GOTV!! But, on the

plane back from OH to OR I guess I'll take advantage of the free drinks on the plane ... either way! :-) x(

[Thrill]

40. 49-48

.