Will Kerry Be Up In Tomorrow's Zogby Poll?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

nt

[EmperorHasNoClothes]

1. Flip a coin.

[bullimiami]

2. didnt zogby say kerry polled +3 in todays one day?

if that averages in to the 3 day....may be...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. I Thought Plus Five

[TomClash]

3. Yes, by one

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Elaborate Please

how?

[DaveinMD]

6. who cares

these three trackers are subject to wild fluctuations and not reliable.

[sonicx]

7. if he ties in weds's one-day, yeah probably

Zogby has very wierd internals tho, so i really don't care.

I only hope Kerry does well in it to get good media coverage.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. I Don't Buy The Tracking Polls

because I know any movement within the MOE is probably noise...


But the numbers are important because the sheeple will be demoralized or energized depending on the results...

[Awsi Dooger]

9. Very possibly, depending on today's sample and how he assigns the leaners

Got to figure Monday was Kerry +1 or even, based on the 3 point Bush lead when it was 49-46 Bush and 50-43 Bush in the previous two 1 day samples. If Zogby had Kerry +5 yesterday, that means a two day sample minus leaners would average Kerry +2.5 or +3.

Without a big Bush edge today, or a significant chunk of the leaners assigned to Bush, we probably can expect a small Kerry lead tomorrow.