10/27 ELECTION MODEL: KERRY 321 EV, 99% WIN PROB, 51.39% OF THE VOTE

[TruthIsAll]

Creeping up quietly.

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/

[tishaLA]

1. This is exactly where I think it settles

I love your updates, TIA

[Pig_Latin_Lover]

2. 99%? I like those odds

327 is a comfortable number, too.

[Steelangel]

3. 48.00? Weeee, that's excellent

[MassLiberal]

4. beautiful

Thank you!

[MR. ELECTABLE]

5. Unfortunately, I'm not sure Florida is in the bag anymore...

1) 58,000 missing ballots.

2) Teresa Lapore's creative address placement on the absentee ballot return envelopes -- so that many of them will be returned to the voter and never be counted. GOD I HATE THAT BITCH!

3) Republicans canvassing Florida colleges and getting students to sign "marijuana legalization" petitions they later use to re-register the students at a different address -- thus opening up their vote to a provisional challenge. This is occuring in other states as well.

4) Caging list -- need I say more.

Still, it looks like we'll have a very good chance of winning even if we don't take Florida.

[TruthIsAll]

7. Don't assume Bush will get away with an obvious theft in FL.

Do you really believe Kerry would allow it to happen?

[TruthIsAll]

6. If Kerry gets 3/4 of the undecided, he has a 100% win probability.

He needs to get his projected vote to 52.0%. Then he's home-free.
We still have six days to go, so he needs to increase his poll average by 0.1% per day from his current 51.4% level to clinch it.

Bush is stuck at 46%. Flatlining.

[ochazuke]

8. Odds of the Republicans trying to steal the election?

100% It's already happen(ed/ing).

[TruthIsAll]

9. Sure they are trying. But they will NEVER succeed.

Not with the NYT and Washington Post and Miami Herald and Sun Sentinel and Palm Beach Post and Orlando Sentinel and St. Petersburg Times and Jimmy Carter and .... the closer watching their every move.

[billyoc]

10. I was afraid that the neocons would rig the election again,

But there's no way they'll get away with it if this many eyes are watching.

[ochazuke]

12. Who's watching the computers?

Answer: other computers. Computers programed by...REPUBLICANS?!?!?!

[michigandem2]

16. you're quite optimisitc!

[Nana]

11. Thank you so much! n/t

[DeepModem Mom]

13. kick

[TruthIsAll]

14. am kick

.

[michigandem2]

15. its going to be a ground swelling type of event

where there is an eruption on november 2nd...I feel it...I feel it...