FLORIDA: Kerry leads 56%-39% among early voters

[PSU84]

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x12942.xml?ReleaseID=488

October 28, 2004

Bush Has 3-Point Lead In Florida, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds

President George W. Bush has scratched out a narrow 49 - 46 percent lead over Democratic challenger John Kerry among Florida likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Independent candidate Ralph Nader gets 1 percent, with 4 percent undecided. This compares to a 48 - 47 percent matchup, with President Bush on top, in an October 21 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University.

Among the 16 percent of Florida voters who say they already have cast ballots, Kerry is ahead 56 - 39 percent.

Among registered voters backing Bush, 83 percent say they are voting mainly for the President. Among Kerry supporters, 50 percent are voting mainly for the Democrat and 44 percent are voting mainly against Bush.

Asked who would do a better job on these issues, voters say:
50 - 43 percent that Kerry would do a better job on the economy;
55 - 37 percent that Bush would do a better job on terrorism;
52 - 38 percent that Kerry would do a better job on health care;
51 - 41 percent that Bush would do a better job on the situation in Iraq.

Voters say 48 - 44 percent that going to war in Iraq was the right thing to do.

[Zynx]

1. They keep oversampling Republicans.

Quinnipiac can't help it self. They give Kerry a 17 point lead among indies.