DemocratSinceBirth
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Thu Oct-28-04 11:00 AM
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TIPP Poll * 46 Kerry 43 Nad(i)r 2 |
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Edited on Thu Oct-28-04 11:01 AM by DemocratSinceBirth
www.tipponline.com
I only post it because Kerry has reduced an eight point gap to three since Monday or Tuesday...
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lancdem
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Thu Oct-28-04 11:02 AM
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1. And Bush is only at 46 percent |
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TIPP was way off in 2000, BRW, as you pointed out a few days ago.
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Beetwasher
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Thu Oct-28-04 11:02 AM
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2. That's A HUGE Swing For this Poll In A Few Days |
swag
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Thu Oct-28-04 11:03 AM
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3. Their polls have just been unbelievable volatile and fucked up this year |
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but thanks for posting that. I, for one, am reassured that they are not on to something in their earlier messes, er, polls.
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michigandem2
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Thu Oct-28-04 11:04 AM
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4. it means polls are shit |
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how can he be up 8 pts on the 25th and by the 28th only up 3??
he was never up by 8...doubt he is up by even 3...he is probably DOWN 3
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michigandem2
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Thu Oct-28-04 11:06 AM
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led in any of these polls...all the polls are all over the place..so I think everyone no matter who is up...is really having a hard time judging what the real outcome will be..which is PRIME for ....a LANDSLIDE
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Robert Oak
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Thu Oct-28-04 11:04 AM
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5. nader@2%? undecideds increase 7%? |
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I fear a disaster a very stealable election coming our way.
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Pirate Smile
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Thu Oct-28-04 11:05 AM
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B K N U October 28 47% 44% 2% 7% +3 Bush October 27 48% 44% 2% 6% +4 Bush October 26 49% 43% 2% 6% +6 Bush October 25 50% 42% 2% 6% +8 Bush
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troublemaker
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Thu Oct-28-04 11:33 AM
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8. Again we are seeing the normal process. Undecideds increase |
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going toward the election, rather than decreasing. That two-step move is what happens when an incumbent is rejected; people move from Bush to undecided, then from undecided to Kerry.
That's what we saw with Reagan in 1980 and congress in 1994 and it was certain we would see it with Kerry too. (Nice to be on the right side of one of these moves for once!)
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Thu Oct-28-04 11:35 AM
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9. I Am Familiar With The Incumbent Rule |
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Edited on Thu Oct-28-04 11:36 AM by DemocratSinceBirth
but now I see there are spins on it...
The undecideds who stick with the incumbent make that decision in the week before the election and the undecideds who go to the challenger do so on the weekend before the election...
That's what Cadell says happened to Carter...
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DU
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Mon May 13th 2024, 03:30 AM
Response to Original message |