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Oct. 25-27 Economist poll: Kerry 49, Bush 45

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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 11:24 AM
Original message
Oct. 25-27 Economist poll: Kerry 49, Bush 45
http://www.economist.com/media/pdf/YouGovS.pdf

Kerry doubled his lead from last week, and this is the biggest lead he's had since before the RNC.

That's two nontracking polls out today with Kerry up 3 (Democracy Corps) and 4 (Economist).
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JuniorPlankton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 11:31 AM
Response to Original message
1. That's closer to where I think we are
Still not there yet!
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 11:37 AM
Response to Original message
2. GREEAT NEWS! These guys and ARG are the BEST, most consistent pollsters.
Edited on Thu Oct-28-04 11:39 AM by TruthIsAll
They do a truly scientific poll of OVER 2000 (2% MOE).

Tight. Good Fit. Feels Good.

tia
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faithnotgreed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:08 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. me too truth. i say this every time (no matter the news) - the economist
Edited on Thu Oct-28-04 02:14 PM by faithnotgreed
is the one i like best because of their sample size and consistency (in the questions they ask etc). they arent trying to manipulate the information, they are trying to gather it! imagine that

i love the internals too. ive watched this poll over the months, and it looks like the male vote is perfectly even betweenbush and kerry, which is great news, women still up for kerry by about 10% which is pretty consistent, and even seniors are moving towards kerry which had been for bush earlier

and when you look at approve/disapprove, the numbers have gotten a little worse for bush just from last poll.
plus when they ask what are you most likely to do on nov 2, then kerry receives 50% of the vote

the internals look good here....
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stevietheman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:18 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Seniors are moving toward Kerry because...
of the flu vaccine scandal. All that has to happen is a senior voter not being able to get their shot to force them to consider who was in charge and that maybe they should switch their vote to Kerry.
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:12 PM
Response to Original message
4. 51-47 is my estimate. nt
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stevietheman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:19 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. My prediction is similar
Kerry: 51.9%
Bush: 46.8%
Other: 1.3%
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West Coast Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:13 PM
Response to Original message
5. With leaners, Kerry has 50% to Bush's 45%....
with 4% saying they'll vote for either Nader or another candidate, and 1% saying they won't vote.
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The Magistrate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:23 PM
Response to Original message
8. The Final Result, Ma'am
Will be 52% President Kerry, 47% to the Andover cheer-leader, and 1% sundry others....

"LET'S GO GET THOSE BUSH BASTARDS!"
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