Rasmussen Battleground for 10/28 (Mostly Bad News)

[louis c]

Rasmussen's 3 day national tracking poll has Bush leading 49%-47%. This is unchanged from yesterday.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com

Zogby's 3 day national poll has Bush leading 48%-46%. This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday.

http://www.zogby.com

Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages for 5 key battleground states are as follows:

Florida, Bush 50%-47% (This is a 3 point Bush gain from yesterday, and breaks a five day tie)

Michigan, Kerry 49%-47% (This is a 3 point Bush gain from yesterday)

Minnesota, Tie 47% (This is a 3 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Ohio, Bush 50%-47% (This a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Pennsylvania, Kerry 49%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)

[Jersey Devil]

1. How do you gain 3% in one day in a 7 day rolling average?

What's he telling us, Bush got something like 65% yesterday in Florida? Absurd. The other 3 pt gains are equally absurd. Or, has Rasmussen now changed to overnight samples only? All his previous polls were 7 day rolling averages

[jezebel]

8. rasmussen says that Bush polled 5 points above Kerry in Florida yesterday.

He must have had him 1 or 2 points up the prior 2 days.

[TimeToGo]

2. Not sure this is "mostly bad news"

[TexasSissy]

9. These are all statistical ties. Though I'd rather Kerry had the upper

hand.

Rasmussen is tilted to the right, so these numbers are worst case scenarios. Not really bad, considering the source. (Rasmussen has had *'s job approval rating at 50% or above ALMOST ALL YEAR, which is not true.)

[cubsfan forever]

3. Rasmussen doesn't know crap! n/t

Professor 2

[SaveElmer]

4. Neither good or bad

These polls are macro indicators. They aren't designed to be precise in every case. A 2 or 3 point change means absolutely nothing. Everyone one of these is WELL within the margin of error!

[aquart]

5. These polls are schizophrenic.

MOE?

[lancdem]

6. Everything hinges on turnout

Keep your chin up!

[flyingfysh]

13. and on the cell phone vote

because pollsters can't call cell phone people.

[sonicx]

7. mixed news actually.

[Doctor_J]

10. yeah, i m getting pretty pessimistic

let's face it. every day brings news of another atrocity perpetrated by *, and the flood of news about his corruption and incompetence hasn't even made a dent in his poll numbers. It's just about over. And if you think the rest of the world hates us now, wait until we "re"-elect him.

the upside is that another 4 years of * will spell the end of the great america as we know it, and whoever hasn't fled can start over with real elections, honest media, and a general re-institution of the constitution. Curt Schilling can go back to the time before the evil UNION enabled him to make $30M in one year throwing a baseball - he can play for $20,000 per year like teachers, nurses, and people who really matter to the country.

win/win, folks

[BeatleBoot]

11. Why is any of this Bad News?

?

[louis c]

18. Because

a 5 day Florida tie has Bush up 3. Ohio still has Bush up 3 points, and Michigan just got 3 points closer. In order for Kerry to win, he has to carry either Florida or Ohio, and hold Pennsylvania and the lakes states (maybe we can squeek out a win without Iowa).

This is not the only poll, others have us winning Ohio.

We will still win, but I can only post the numbers that are printed.

Please don't shot the messenger.

[BeatleBoot]

21. Look at the "Undecideds"

90% of "Undecideds" go to the challenger. Its a good rule of thumb.

Bush needs to be ahead by at least 4% for any of this to matter.

If we are within 3% of the moron, I think we are okee-dokeee.

:D

[vet_against_Bush]

12. Polls suck but that isn't too damn horrible! nt

[michigandem2]

14. this election is too unpredictable..I will wait till november 2nd

before I say its bad news...I dont' think its going to be bad news but I will wait for the facts before I "jump to conclusions" I look at polls...but I don't wrap mysefl up in them...too many are way off..nothing is consistent...

[bluestateguy]

15. Only positive Kerry spoken here

Please do not post polls with bad news. I have had enough of the doom and gloom crowd.

ONLY POSITIVE KERRY SPOKEN HERE.

ONLY POSITIVE KERRY!!

[michigandem2]

16. HERE HERE!!!!!

[foo_bar]

17. your url has a typo

it's http://www.rasmussenreports.com

right/wrong track 43/54. the 54 is the number we're looking for.

[louis c]

20. Thank you

I'm just so angry about Schilling.

[MoonRiver]

19. When Kerry wins these pollsters are going to have a lot of explaining

to do. Clearly this is not even close to a science. Why should anybody pay attention to polls at all?