Iowa is going...

[Joe Momma]

Iowa Democratic leaders voice increasing assurance that he’ll (Kerry) carry this state and its seven electoral votes.
Since January, Democrats have registered 66,000 new potential voters, while Republicans have registered 21,000.

“I’m growing more confident every day that John Kerry is going to win,” Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack said Wednesday night after the Kerry rally in Cedar Rapids. “Here’s why: I’m looking at the numbers; I’m looking at the early votes, I’m looking at the registrations. A record number of Iowans have now registered. Democrats have now basically drawn even with Republicans (in voter registration). That was not the case in 2000. Early votes are substantially greater than in 2000; Democrats with a 60/40 edge in the early voters that are being cast.”

Vilsack said Democrats know they have the edge in early votes cast because “We’ve canvassed 400,000 doors and we’ve identified voters and we are tracking those people. ... We know exactly who has voted; we know from our canvass who they were supporting, so we’re pretty confident in our numbers. We’re building up a fairly significant margin, which is going to be difficult for the president to overcome. Not that he isn’t giving it one whale of an effort — and that’s why it’s going to be close.”

[Debi]

1. On Iowa!

n/t

[SharonAnn]

9. Yes! Former Iowan here! Go Kerry, On Iowa!

[rndmprsn]

2. Iowa, MN, WI, MI and OH are all for kerry

mark my words.

[Ediacara]

3. Mark MY words about 5 surprises :-)

Virginia, West Virginia, Missouri, Arkansas, and Colorado.

[NewYorkerfromMass]

4. I agree

[doni_georgia]

11. I agree. Don't really believe any of them will be that close

[sonicx]

5. It was always going Kerry, f the polls.

[Hobarticus]

6. We've been saying that all along, here!

[Blue Gardener]

8. You bet Iowa is going for Kerry

I had my hair done the other day, the hairdresser owns her own shop in a small town. She said 95% of her clients are voting for Kerry.

[Hobarticus]

10. Hey Junebug!

Let's turn Iowa blue, from river to river!!!

[Debi]

7. Question on polling

After a person votes (as several thousand have already done in Iowa alone) do they still get polled?

[Thrill]

12. I saw their Sec of state on CNN today

and he too was very upbeat and confident

[Awsi Dooger]

13. Kerry won't win Iowa unless he keeps a higher percentage of Democrats

Bush has surreal loyalty in Iowa, losing just 4-5% of Republicans according to the state polls I've scanned all year. That's less than any other state.

Kerry forfeits a much greater chunk of Democrats in Iowa, sometimes 9-10% in the state polls. These registration figures can hardly be viewed in a 1/1 ratio. If 100 registered Democrats equals 90 Kerry votes and 100 Republicans equals 95 Bush votes, no wonder Iowa is in jeopardy.

[Blue Gardener]

14. I don't know ANY Dems that are voting for Bush

I do however know several repugs who voted for Shrub in 2000, are now voting for Kerry. Iowa is Blue this year.