New Zogby Numbers-Get Them While They Are Hot

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=584&ncid=584&e=5&u=/nm/20041028/pl_nm/campaign_poll_thursday_dc

[sonicx]

1. Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico and Nevada to Bush

sure...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. they ain't bad...

but they are all over the place...

[lancdem]

12. And nationally, Zogby has Bush and Kerry basically tied

among men and women? I'm sorry, but the gender gap has not disappeared.

[blondeatlast]

22. Growing in the Republican Party, check this out:

Abortion Crusade Turns Republican Women Off Bush

http://www.truthout.org/docs_04/102704L.shtml

[West Coast Democrat]

3. So basically, every battleground state is still tied...

[TexasSissy]

18. Yes. EVERYTHING is statistically tied! Arrrrrgggghhhh!

[lancdem]

4. I'm sorry, but Zogby's state polls are goofy

Bush gaining 12 points on Kerry in Michigan? Bullshit.

[Leilani]

5. His state numbers look funny

He has Bush ahead in Michigan?

[sonicx]

10. i know..

and as much as i want CO, i don't think Kerry has it.

[Thrill]

6. I don't believe for one second

Bush is ahead in Michigan and Minnesota

[demwing]

23. Those are the states I laughed at

not a chance Zog

[Career Prole]

7. I rated it a big one-eroony.

Polls suck. Forget polls. Forget Poll-Land.

[louis c]

8. I like these numbers

If the undecideds break in the historical norm, Kerry will carry all the big battleground states.

[TwilightZone]

9. These poll swings are completely unrealistic.

Kerry goes from 10 up in Michigan on Sunday to 1 down today?

I find that pretty difficult to believe.

[BootinUp]

11. Colorado and Pennsylvania are proof these polls suck.

[childslibrarian]

14. Kerry is winning in Pa.

Unless, of course, you only poll Lancaster County...

[debatepro]

13. The candidates are locked in a dead heat among ...young voters

Crack smoker

[DoYouEverWonder]

15. The numbers are skewed

because when Zogby calls, none of the Dems are home.



They're all out working their butts off making sure Kerry gets elected.

[Tesibria]

16. check this out

http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html

more "together" -- considers multiple polls

for better or worse

(and fortunately for us -- for BETTER)

[Maestro]

19. In research a meta-analysis is very good

as it takes into account all known research and basically develops a hypothesis from that (very simplistic definition). If what I read is correct, and it probably is, Kerry will win the electoral college vote quite handily. I'm hopeful.

[Tesibria]

24. me too!!!! n/t

[DemocracyInaction]

17. Sooo, is Zogby god or not

One minute I read that he is and now he isn't. Polls are suppose to break at the end...is this the break or a pollster from another planet. I just goddamn don't know anymore and I'm getting goddamn depressed. I really am. I don't care about national polls but if he's running around saying that these midwest states are all trending Bush THEN it could very well be that it's going to be a blow out. I do not want another Carville with his head in the waste basket evening. I'm so sick of this poll shit. I really am.

[DemocracyInaction]

20. PS--isn't this the same wild shit Quinnapack (sp) was saying today??

How the hell is their suddenly these 10-12 point shifts. It isn't logical not in this tight race. I'm totally fed up and sick of following this crap. I voted and now I'll let the chips fall as I work to get every last person out to vote come Tuesday.. Damn all of this.

[lancdem]

21. Turnout will be the key in every one of these states