10/29 ELECTION MODEL: KERRY 327 EV, 99% WIN PROB, 51.3% OF THE VOTE

[TruthIsAll]

In the TIPP tracking poll, he has come from 41-48 to a 45-45 tie in four days.

In the Zogby poll, he has pulled back into a 47-47 tie from a 3 point deficit.

These are three day average polls; the gains he has made in the last 2 days will enable him to pull into a lead tommorrow.

His 1% lead in the independent national poll average is very close to his lead in the weighted state polls, confirming his closing surge.

And the 6% undecided will break his way.

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/

[mom cat]

1. That is Great news. Landslide, landslide, landslide!

[Jokinomx]

2. Thanks for the Information...

I followed your link have to say... you have a very interesting site.

I also followed the link you had to the American Prospect about the "50%" rule..... It is looking good...thanks..:-)

:kick: