My take on polls

[rpannier]

We all hear about how wrong they were in 2000, but people fail to mention how wrong they were in 98 as well. In 98, all the polls predicted the Dems would get stomped in the Senate and House races, yet that never happened. The polls also predicted for the longest time that Landreau would lose in Louisiana.
They are notoriously unreliable.
I think we win the White House.
In the Senate races: Alaska, Colorado, Oklahoma, Kentucky and Illinois (that we win Illinois is a given).
We lose Georgia and South Carolina.
It may not be enough to secure a majority in the Senate. But, a 5-2 margin I'll take.

[Sean Reynolds]

1. They were wrong in 2002, 96 and 94 too.

Granted in 1996 they had Clinton winning, however most polls gave Clinton a larger lead than he got in the final results.

In 1994 no one thought the Republicans would dominate like they did. Hell in 2002 the races look quite close and Republicans stomped there too.

[UCLA Dem]

2. Kerry in a landslide.