Newsweak Poll Internals.. wanna take a wild guess?

[tedoll78]

I've gleamed this from DailyKos.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/10/30/13015/011

345 Republicans
316 Democrats
304 Independents

There ya go. Another pro-Bush poll destroyed.

[jezebel]

1. That's 36% Republican, 33% Democrat, and 31 Independents NT

[cubsfan forever]

2. There they go again

it will be a real treat to watch them try to explain how they were accurate all along after JFK kicks Bunker Boys ass on Nov 2.

Professor 2

[DemsUnited]

3. Oh, I am so shocked, shocked and surprised!

Didn't see that one coming at all...

[harpo]

4. fuck the polls...we are going to win this thing!!!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. WAPO Has Indys 48-47 Kerry

Newsweek has it 47-38 Asshat...


That's a big discrepancy too.....

[lancdem]

13. Yeah, that's out of line with every other poll

Remember, that Newsweek poll a week or two ago had Kerry leading among men and Bush among women. They obviously have some problems.

[DODI]

6. Kerry - LANDSLIDE and I don't mean Fleetwood Mac!

[theangrydem]

16. Stop the landslide talk

We know about the dirty tricks planned for Ohio & Florida, assume nothing.

[carolinalady]

7. and yet JK still in statistical tie GREAT NEWS

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. TIPP, ZOGBY, WAPO, and Rasmussen Are Weighting...

Their results are similiar ...

small Kerry or Bush lead..

Before you reply I'm not saying they are the same...


FOX, Battleground, Newsweek don't weight and their results are the same...

a five or six point asshat lead...

[snowbear]

9. Polls Scmolls

I've only seen one poll mentioned (Zogby) where it showed Kerry ahead by one point.. but they were quick to mention "This is before the OBL tape"

Not sure where they were going with that comment-

(edit.. oops. that should have read that I've only seen "one" poll since I woke up this morning :hangover: )

[in_cog_ni_to]

10. unfucking real.

I HATE our media and hope like hell Kerry cleans house when he's in office. This shit has got to stop.

[LibDemAlways]

11. I would be willing to bet money that

a hefty percentage of those "independents" are right leaning, and were identified as such before they were questioned. Thus the ridiculously skewed number of "independents" favoring the chimp.

[punpirate]

12. If that same sample were to mirror...

... year 2000 registrations, it would be:

376 Republicans
463 Democrats
126 Independents/Other

[KelleyKramer]

14. How can they get away with that?

The polling methods this year are so ridiculous its a joke.

There was a Gallup poll last week and someone got the internals and ONE-THIRD of them were in the $75,000+ income group.

These polls are nothing but garbage, how can they get away with that and no one calls them on it??!!

[LouKYDem]

15. Any more specifics?

Are there any more specifics from the Newsweek poll, like a breakdown of how the percentages break down for each group? Like how many Republicans say they'd vote for Bush, how many Republicans say they'd go for Kerry, etc...? I'm just wondering because I'd like to see how far ahead Kerry actually is in a PROPERLY weighted poll.

[LouKYDem]

17. Nevermind, I read the full article...

and by my (very) rough estimations (and I'm not a statician or anything, lol), it comes out to about 47.2 Bush/46.45 Kerry. Of course, I'm just using very rough estimates of 40% Democratic voters, 35% Republican, 25% Independent.

[sonicx]

19. that's about right, maybe a little too weighted toward Dems.

[featherman]

18. Is that your final answer? I don't know who is pretending to

be Newsweek's "pollsters" but to be so wrong so late in the game should be enough to discredit this outfit forever. Maybe they should find a different line of work, aluminum siding sales or something.

[sonicx]

20. Newsweek is Gallup-lite

[TheWebHead]

21. anyone know what last week's internals were?

Even if skewed, if they were skewed the same way last week it shows movement towards *