ARG poll of New Hampshire: K-47 B-47 N-2

[pabloseb]

34% repugs, 29% dems, 37% independents

Not so good as other recent polls of NH, but the point is not even one recent poll in this state shows the chimp ahead or close to 50%.

Link: http://americanresearchgroup.com/nh/

[DaveinMD]

1. I'm fairly confident

we'll win in NH.

[cubsfan forever]

2. Look at the sample +5 Shitwits

and 37% Idies? Uh, no. Internal polls have NH in the Kerry column. Nader won't get even 1% That's a RW poll.

Professor 2

[pabloseb]

6. Actually, repugs outnumber dems in NH

I think their numbers are accurate.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Actually They Have More Registered Pukes Than Dems In NH...

Those numbers are straight up registration figures...

They have a puke gov and two puke senators...

[cubsfan forever]

10. So 47-47 is a good sign, eh?

Professor 2

[creeksneakers2]

3. Their homepage has Kerry winning

PA, OH, FL, and WI. If that's true Bush can have New Hampshire.

[Massacure]

4. 50-48 when you throw in undecides.

[Firespirit]

5. NH has four EV's

If we are depending on it to win, then that ain't so good.

Fortunately we are NOT. It seems that PA is blue, Ohio is Kerry's as well, and he's retaken (or maybe he never lost??) the lead in MN, MI, and WI.

NH will be icing on the cake, another "red" state reclaimed..... or, at worst, it will be irrelevant.

[bringbackfdr]

8. Same prediction all year

We will win my home state, perhaps by enough that our smarmy, boneheaded Repuke governor will fall, too.

[cubsfan forever]

11. I like your style! n/t

Professor 2

[JohnnyCougar]

9. Something of note:

Bush approval rating 45% nationally in that poll. If that's true, it's Kerry in a landslide.

[Awsi Dooger]

12. There are positive signs in that poll

Kerry is losing (or should it be loosing?:)) only 8% of Democrats. That's low for independent minded New Hampshire, which normally features 10+% crossover among both Dems and GOP.

Plus, Kerry leads 48-41 among independents, always a huge and critical voting block in New Hampshire, with 6% of indies undecided. Also, note that 3% of Dems are undecided to 2% among GOP.

I think a very tight race in New Hampshire is accurate. Likewise Ohio. I'm not buying state polls that put Kerry significantly ahead in either state. Those states figure to mirror the national vote too closely for us to take either one easily, or for granted.

[Buck Rabbit]

13. The 2% Nader is a good sign.

Last time a large percentage of people who told the pollsters they would vote Nader, went Gore when faced with an actual ballot. Check the last polls for Nader versus his actual results.

Standing in an actual polling booth wondering if your protest vote is enabling Bush to do whatever he wants for four more years would tighten most any progressives sphincter regardless of their concern that Kerry isn't pure liberal enough.