Some interesting new numbers from SUSA

[59millionmorons]

http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html

President, NV
10/30/2004
Bush (R)
49%
Kerry (D)
49%
Data Collected
10/28/04 - 10/29/04
Margin of Error
4.3%

President, VA
10/30/2004
Bush (R)
51%
Kerry (D)
47%
Other/Undecided
2%
Data Collected
10/27/04 - 10/29/04
Margin of Error
4.1%

President, NJ
10/30/2004
Kerry (D)
54%
Bush (R)
42%
Other/Undecided
3%
Data Collected
10/27/04 - 10/29/04
Margin of Error
3.5%

[StupidFOX]

1. Up 12% in NJ? That is interesting...

[DaveinMD]

2. I wish I trusted

SUSA. But I don't. They do automated calling and I don't trust that methodology.

[sonicx]

3. i hope that NV number is accurate...

but you never know with SUSA polls...

[PSU84]

4. Kerry's staff said just yesterday that VA is in play.

Makes me thingk that their internal polling shows mush the same result as SUSA.

A win in Nevada would be GREAT!!!

[lancdem]

5. These aren't interesting poll results

They're great poll results! The Kerry campaign says it can win Nevada, and this proves it. And for Virginia to be this close is good news, too.

[jefferson_dem]

6. Terrific. NV - dead heat ; VA - in striking distance ; NJ - done

[bullimiami]

7. up 12 in nj finally makes sense.

i dont trust susa anyhoo.

[pabloseb]

8. Do you have some rational evidence not to support susa?

Many polls nowadays are robo-polls. Unless you have done an extensive statistical study, I don't think you can easily prove that they're indeed less accurate than standard telephone polls. Susa has a lot of data in their site purportedly proving that they actually do better than most other polls.

[DaveinMD]

10. most polls

use random digit dialing, but their is a human interviewer. The robo interviewer could be more easily manipulated by non-voters such as children. Its not a technique that is well respected in the industry. I have a deep level of mistrust.

I think the numbers if NJ make sense. The VA numbers are consistent with what we've seen elsewhere. NV seems closer than many polls we've seen.

[pabloseb]

11. I see your point

But again, it's pure speculation. I haven't seen any study or article proving that they're actually less accurate.

[sonicx]

12. in general, i'm skeptical of SUSA

They have very weird results sometimes. don't pass the smell test.

[Daisey Mae]

9. THESE ARE GREAT NUMBERS

Hope that they hold.......cause I think they will break for Kerry......NJ is great.....