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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
banana republican Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 08:04 PM
Original message
electoral college lottery
how much will kerry win by

Kerry 504
* 34
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tedoll78 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-30-04 08:14 PM
Response to Original message
1. Naaah..
I have two theories..

Scenario #1: Close Election
Kerry wins all Gore states, excepting New Mexico and Iowa. Kerry flips Ohio and New Hampshire.

Final: Kerry 272, Bush 266


Scenario #2: The Underwater Landslide
An underwater landslide usually isn't evident until the tidal wave it generates gets close to the shore. At that point, you can't stop it. In this scenario, Kerry wins all Gore states, Ohio, New Hampshire, Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Missouri, Arkansas, Nevada, Colorado, and Arizona.

Final: Kerry 385, Bush 153

.....

I personally think we'll be closer to Scenario #1, although I'd LOVE LOVE LOVE to see Scenario #2 develop.
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