DemocratSinceBirth
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Sun Oct-31-04 07:33 AM
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| WAPOL POll 48-48 LV 48 Kerry 48 The Evil One 47 RV |
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Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 07:34 AM by DemocratSinceBirth
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| jezebel
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Sun Oct-31-04 07:35 AM
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| 1. the Evil One, lol. How true NT |
| DemocratSinceBirth
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Sun Oct-31-04 07:36 AM
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| 2. I Guess The Reason The LV and RV Is A Bit Different |
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is because 94% of the Evil One's supporters are "likely" to vote versus 93% of Kerry's...
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| unfrigginreal
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Sun Oct-31-04 08:01 AM
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| 3. It's going to be another nail biter |
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this tracking poll had Bush up by 4 at this time in 2000.
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| jefferson_dem
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Sun Oct-31-04 08:14 AM
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| 4. YES. And that number includes Chimp's two point uptick on the 29th. |
| DemocratSinceBirth
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Sun Oct-31-04 08:19 AM
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| 5. We Have Two Unknown Variables |
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Turnout
and
Undecideds
Traditionally Democrats "underpoll" in polls because Republicans score higher on likely voter tests and downscale voters are harder to reach..
and
Undecideds break toward the challenger...
Because of turnout we can afford to break even among the undecideds...
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DU
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Tue Apr 23rd 2024, 07:03 AM
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