liberalpragmatist
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Sun Oct-31-04 12:42 PM
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Mine: Kerry 49%, Bush 48%, Badnarik 1%, Nader 1%, Others 1%
Electoral College:
*Note: if a state is not mentioned, then assume it goes to the party that won it in 2000. i.e. New York isn't mentioned b/c it's obviously going Kerry.
Kerry - Ohio + NH + Florida. Holds Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan, Oregon. Total: 299
Bush - New Mexico + Colorado + Nevada + Iowa*. Total: 239.
*I'm iffy about IOWA - genuinely split. I'm giving it to Bush for now, but Kerry's been doing very well in early voting and he's up in the latest polls. If Kerry takes Iowa, it's 306-232 Kerry!
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AndyP
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Sun Oct-31-04 12:44 PM
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1. I don't think Kerry can take Florida |
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Jeb won't let it happen. I have a feeling that Kerry might be able to take Iowa, and some votes in Colorado depending on their electoral vote amendment that they are all voting on.
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dave502d
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Sun Oct-31-04 12:47 PM
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Look what Jeb did in one night,he had almost 4 years to cheat this time.
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cynatnite
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Sun Oct-31-04 12:47 PM
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Popular vote:
Kerry 52% * 47% 1% all the rest
Kerry takes CO, WI, AR, OH, FL, PA, NM, MN, MI
shrub takes IA, NV
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dave502d
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Sun Oct-31-04 12:48 PM
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4. Kerry wins,that all that matters to me. |
rock
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Sun Oct-31-04 12:51 PM
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5. Call me an optimist: Kerry 60-40 |
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With over 400 EVs, possibly exceeding 500. I don't believe the polls. I really don't believe the polls.
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harpo
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Sun Oct-31-04 12:53 PM
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phish420
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Sun Oct-31-04 12:54 PM
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marew
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Sun Oct-31-04 12:59 PM
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Was_Immer
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Sun Oct-31-04 01:04 PM
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I predict that! Its possible too! I'll let Chimpy get 1 electoral vote from Maine. Thats it.
Why 537 for Kerry?
I've been posting on FR for them to vote on Nov. 3rd for the past month.
It'll work I tell ya!
:)
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GreenArrow
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Sun Oct-31-04 01:04 PM
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10. Kerry wins cleanly, clearly decisively |
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Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 01:13 PM by GreenArrow
Kerry gets 52 percent, Bush 47, the rest 1 percent. Kerry would likely be at 58-59 percent if not for Republican attempts at chicanery/cheating.
Kerry gets at minimum 350 electoral votes, with over 400 a good possibility. Kerry takes Ohio, Florida, Wisconsin, Colorado, Arizona, Virigina and North Carolina and a couple of surprise red states--I'm thinking Louisiana for one.
If pubs win this, it will be through cheating.
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Roland99
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Sun Oct-31-04 01:05 PM
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11. Popular Vote: Kerry 53...Bush 47 |
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Kerry in a landslide electorally.
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DU
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Thu Apr 25th 2024, 03:34 PM
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