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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
liberalpragmatist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 12:42 PM
Original message
Post Your Predictions
Mine: Kerry 49%, Bush 48%, Badnarik 1%, Nader 1%, Others 1%

Electoral College:

*Note: if a state is not mentioned, then assume it goes to the party that won it in 2000. i.e. New York isn't mentioned b/c it's obviously going Kerry.

Kerry - Ohio + NH + Florida. Holds Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan, Oregon. Total: 299

Bush - New Mexico + Colorado + Nevada + Iowa*. Total: 239.

*I'm iffy about IOWA - genuinely split. I'm giving it to Bush for now, but Kerry's been doing very well in early voting and he's up in the latest polls. If Kerry takes Iowa, it's 306-232 Kerry!
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AndyP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 12:44 PM
Response to Original message
1. I don't think Kerry can take Florida
Jeb won't let it happen. I have a feeling that Kerry might be able to take Iowa, and some votes in Colorado depending on their electoral vote amendment that they are all voting on.
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dave502d Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 12:47 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. You could be right.
Look what Jeb did in one night,he had almost 4 years to cheat this time.
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cynatnite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 12:47 PM
Response to Original message
2. Kerry=319 *=219
Popular vote:

Kerry 52%
* 47%
1% all the rest

Kerry takes CO, WI, AR, OH, FL, PA, NM, MN, MI

shrub takes IA, NV

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dave502d Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 12:48 PM
Response to Original message
4. Kerry wins,that all that matters to me.
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rock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 12:51 PM
Response to Original message
5. Call me an optimist: Kerry 60-40
With over 400 EVs, possibly exceeding 500. I don't believe the polls. I really don't believe the polls.
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harpo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 12:53 PM
Response to Original message
6. Kerry 374 / Chimp 164
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phish420 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 12:54 PM
Response to Original message
7. Prediction
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marew Donating Member (854 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 12:59 PM
Response to Original message
8. Kerry 312 Jerk 226
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Was_Immer Donating Member (676 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 01:04 PM
Response to Original message
9. Kerry 537 - Chimpy 1
I predict that! Its possible too! I'll let Chimpy get 1 electoral vote from Maine. Thats it.

Why 537 for Kerry?

I've been posting on FR for them to vote on Nov. 3rd for the past month.

It'll work I tell ya!

:)
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GreenArrow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 01:04 PM
Response to Original message
10. Kerry wins cleanly, clearly decisively
Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 01:13 PM by GreenArrow
Kerry gets 52 percent, Bush 47, the rest 1 percent. Kerry would likely be at 58-59 percent if not for Republican attempts at chicanery/cheating.

Kerry gets at minimum 350 electoral votes, with over 400 a good possibility. Kerry takes Ohio, Florida, Wisconsin, Colorado, Arizona, Virigina and North Carolina and a couple of surprise red states--I'm thinking Louisiana for one.

If pubs win this, it will be through cheating.
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Roland99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 01:05 PM
Response to Original message
11. Popular Vote: Kerry 53...Bush 47
Kerry in a landslide electorally.
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