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Pollsters that got it wrong in 2000 are repeating it in 2004

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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 05:26 PM
Original message
Pollsters that got it wrong in 2000 are repeating it in 2004
Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 05:27 PM by demdem
They may want to change there voter models. You notice that the polls from 2000 that got it right (Harris,Zogby and Fox) all have Kerry tied or ahead. Fox Kerry +1, Harris Kerry +1, Zogby tied. The ones that missed it in 2000 are all calling it for Bush again(NBC Bush +3, Pew Bush +3 Newsweek Bush +5). I know that Zogby and Harris use the 39-D 35-R and 26-I. Maybe these other pollsters should study the more accurate ones.


http://www.ncpp.org/1936-2000.htm
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 05:28 PM
Response to Original message
1. I Don't Think NBC Has A Current Poll...
Do they?
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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 05:29 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Yes they do
It will be released tonght at 6:30 on NBC according to Josh Marshall. They have Bush up 3. Just like they did in 2000.
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MidwestTransplant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 05:29 PM
Response to Original message
3. When was the last Harris poll?
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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 05:30 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Released on
Oct 27th.
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endnote Donating Member (645 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 05:33 PM
Response to Original message
5. All polls are shit.
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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 05:35 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. True
But some polls are more shit than other. Harris and Zogby nailed the races in 1996 and in 2000. The others can't claim that.
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