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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:04 PM
Original message
Zogby Tracking Numbers Are Out...
Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 06:09 PM by DemocratSinceBirth
I can't link because of trick or treaters...


no..... national...


try www.realclearpolitics.com and search...
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auntAgonist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:04 PM
Response to Original message
1. is that a trick
hehe :(
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sweettater Donating Member (674 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:08 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Hopefully a treat
:P
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zach Donating Member (71 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:10 PM
Response to Reply #1
7. All I can find is this
Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 06:10 PM by zach
From an article on Reuters:

Kerry leads in Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while Bush leads in Colorado, Nevada and Ohio, according to the Reuters/Zogby state polls.

The state of New Mexico is deadlocked at 49 percent each, one day after Bush held a nine-point advantage.

Most of the leads in the 10 state polls were within the margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points. The biggest leads in any state were Kerry's seven-point advantages in Michigan and Wisconsin.


Nothing in terms of solid numbers though, other than for Wisconsin being a 9 point swing IN ONE DAY?

http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=electionsNews&storyID=6668991
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Bluebear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:07 PM
Response to Original message
2. 48-48-1
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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:09 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. All this was linked early today at this site...
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deadparrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:09 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. Confirms that there was no discernable Osama bounce
for either candidate.
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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:09 PM
Response to Original message
5. Here are the new state #s
http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=electionsNews&storyID=6668991&pageNumber=1
The state-by-state results: In Colorado, Bush led 48 percent to 47 percent; Florida, Kerry 48 percent to 47 percent; Iowa, Kerry 50 percent to 44 percent; Michigan, Kerry 52 percent to 45 percent; Minnesota, Kerry 49 percent to 47 percent; New Mexico, tied 49 percent to 49 percent; Nevada, Bush 50 percent to 44 percent; Ohio, Bush 48 percent to 44 percent; Pennsylvania, Kerry 50 percent to 45 percent, and Wisconsin, Kerry 51 percent to 44 percent.
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Sean Reynolds Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:10 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. Outside of Ohio, good numbers.
Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 06:10 PM by Sean Reynolds
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mvd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:12 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. I still think he could be wrong about Ohio
And if NM could swing that way in a day, so could OH. :-)
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Sean Reynolds Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:13 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Yup....I think Kerry takes Ohio.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:12 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. i think realclear politics has fresher numbers...
see my link and scroll around...
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:17 PM
Response to Reply #5
14. i still say we get OH, but at least Zogby has * at 48
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MidwestTransplant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:24 PM
Response to Reply #14
19. That's the only disappointment
I find it hard to believe there are that many undecideds there though.
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Kal Belgarion Donating Member (247 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:23 PM
Response to Reply #5
18. Look at that lead in Iowa!
Looking good! :)
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Tesibria Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:15 PM
Response to Original message
12. these links are all to YESTERDAY's numbers -- except
the Reuters' article that doesn't show state figures.

New Mexico is a big huge swing too, based on that article. Bush was far (relatively speaking, of course) ahead yesterday and now it's tied again??
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pabloseb Donating Member (510 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:16 PM
Response to Original message
13. How can a state swing 9 points in one day?

Not that I complain that Kerry is now tied in NM, but such wild changes in many states don't inspire too much confidence.
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tritsofme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:18 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. Because Zogby state polls are BS
Don't pay attention to his state numbers, look at his national numbers.
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Tesibria Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:17 PM
Response to Original message
15. CORRECTION -- here are the "new" numbers
... at the bottom of this article (posted 16 minutes ago)

http://www.reuters.co.uk/newsPackageArticle.jhtml?type=topNews&storyID=612896§ion=news

The state-by-state results: In Colorado, Bush led 48 percent to 47 percent; Florida, Kerry 48 percent to 47 percent; Iowa, Kerry 50 percent to 44 percent; Michigan, Kerry 52 percent to 45 percent; Minnesota, Kerry 49 percent to 47 percent; New Mexico, tied 49 percent to 49 percent; Nevada, Bush 50 percent to 44 percent; Ohio, Bush 48 percent to 44 percent; Pennsylvania, Kerry 50 percent to 45 percent, and Wisconsin, Kerry 51 percent to 44 percent.
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montana500 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:22 PM
Response to Reply #15
17. I'll take those numbers even though I doubt them.
That's a Kerry win.
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alcuno Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 06:29 PM
Response to Reply #17
20. Zogby just got off with Brinker on "Moneyline."
It's a national radio show that talks...money. He says it's Kerry.
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