59millionmorons
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Sun Oct-31-04 06:43 PM
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| Remember only 4 polls out of 43 got it right in 2000 |
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Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 06:46 PM by demdem
Harris-Zogby-Fox-CBS(notCBS/NYT)-Keep an eye on these four, especially Zogby and Harris who nailed the race in 1996 and 2000. The other 39 missed it from 2-8%. http://www.aapor.org/default.asp?ID=39&page=news_and_issues/aapor_newsletter_detail#table1 |
| DaveSZ
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Sun Oct-31-04 06:45 PM
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| 1. Zogby also nailed 1996 |
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I have the most faith in him.
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| kikiek
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Sun Oct-31-04 06:45 PM
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| 2. And more Dems will show up this year to vote. |
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They're misunderestimating democratic turnout.
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| LoZoccolo
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Sun Oct-31-04 06:48 PM
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| 3. I'm a person who allows dissent (polls that show us behind), and still... |
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Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 06:49 PM by LoZoccolo
...I think we're gonna win this one. I posted a theory yesterday about how we may even see us leap by more than the margin of undecideds on election day because I think it's more about turnout than convincing undecideds, and I actually think we will in some states.
BUT STILL WORK LIKE CRAZY! Think of it as it will feel good to have done so if we have a good chance of winning!
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| klyon
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Sun Oct-31-04 07:06 PM
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| 4. so what do Zogby & Harris predict? |
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Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 07:07 PM by klyon
I have seen so many I can't keep up.
Does Zogby listen to his own polls? He has personally called it for both.
KL
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