Gallup Poll - Kerry 47% Bush 49% LV 49-49 tie with undecideds alloc.

[unfrigginreal]

Poll: Bush, Kerry split six key states
National survey of likely voters also too close to call

(CNN) -- President Bush and Democratic Sen. John Kerry were almost evenly split among likely voters in the six major battleground states in the final weekend before Tuesday's election, according a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Sunday.

A separate Gallup poll of likely voters indicated a similar split nationwide, with 49 percent choosing Bush and 47 percent taking Kerry -- a virtual tie given the margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Independent candidate Ralph Nader had 1 percent.

In the battleground state polls, only in two places did a survey indicate a clear advantage to a candidate, given the same margin of error.

Those states were Wisconsin, where Bush led by 8 points, and Minnesota, where Kerry led by 8 points.

In the other states, Bush had leads of 2 points in Iowa and 4 points in Pennsylvania. Kerry had leads of 3 points in Florida and 4 points in Ohio.

Perhaps the most significant shift in the poll was in Florida, where the same survey indicated Bush ahead by 8 points among likely voters last week, though other state polls indicated a much tighter race. (Full story)

The figures were mostly the same among registered voters, except in Pennsylvania, where Kerry had a 2-point lead.

snip

The result was a tie of 49 percent each for Bush and Kerry, with 1 percent for Nader and 1 percent for other candidates.

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/31/poll.sunday/

[Hokie]

1. Kerry will not lose PA

What are these people smoking?

[MidwestTransplant]

2. Kerry loosing in PA but winning in FL and OH?

Weird.

[Demfromct]

6. NOOOOOO

No. I don't believe that Pa is for Bush, and Ohio and Fl for Kerry/ So, Kerry is up in Fla but down big in Wisconsin, WHAT?


Makes no sense, this race is tied.

[Zynx]

3. They said when they pushed undecideds it was 49 all.

[unfrigginreal]

5. Yeah I caught that further into the article, I'll adjust the subject

[JohnnyCougar]

4. Good lord

How is Gallup still at all credible? No states swing around like that. I'm glad it shows us leading in Ohio and Florida...but it's not like that is valuable information. There's absolutely no way we will lose Pennsylvania. And the Wisconsin poll is about 12 points off what every other poll is saying. Crazy shit.

[shelley806]

10. Indeed! "How is Gallup still at all credible?"

I can tell you, that CNN/USA Today/Gallup polls have completely lost credibility with me.

[helpisontheway]

7. Darn...missed Sneider's comments...

What did he say?

[fujiyama]

8. This is

probably the most ridiculous thing I've seen.

Losing PA? but winning OH and FL?

Winning MN by 8 but losing WI by the same amount?

I don't care who's up. It just doesn't make much sense.

[sonicx]

9. fuck gallup and their garbage polls

[unfrigginreal]

12. Amen! I don't trust their good news any more than their bad news.

:thumbsup: :thumbsup:

[MidwestTransplant]

11. That gives us big momentum.

[Lex]

13. They allocated undecideds evenly? What?

That makes no sense to me. I thought historically far more undecideds break for the Challenger, NOT the Incumbent.

[Bush was AWOL]

14. Combine this with all polls=Bullshit

There is no trend other than it is close. Whoever GOTV on Tuesday wins. I've got a feeling that the thought of 4 more years of Bush will mobilize the Democratic base like never before.

Kerry 50.5 Bush 48.5 Nader less than 1

EC-Kerry 290 after keeping all Gore states and adding Ohio and New Hampshire.