Gallup gives Kerry lead in Ohio, Florida but Bush ahead in Pa!!??

[WI_DEM]

The polls are NUTS. Gallup has Kerry up by three in Ohio and four Florida and Bush up by four in Pennsylvania. I always thought PA. was Kerry's strongest of the three and still think he will win it.

Gallup has Kerry up by 8 in Minnesota and Bush up by 8 in Wisconsin!!
and a statistical deadheat in Iowa (48-46 for Bush).

Kerry aint going to lose WI and we are nowhere near 8 points down.

[cthrumatrix]

1. eff them.... it's up to the voters...get everyone you know to vote

[sonicx]

2. Gallup is out of their fucking minds and CNN should be ashamedfor using em

fuckers. :grr:

[lancdem]

3. Gallup has Kerry up 2 in PA among registered voters in this poll

which just reinforces how terrible their LV methodology is.

We are not going to lose PA, WI or IA.

[sonicx]

4. god, i hate them so much...

they had Kerry down 6 a week ago and now he's magically tied. They know their methods are aweful! :grr:

[byronm]

6. Working the hood'

And i haven't seen a single republican canvasing anywhere.

And i've done just about every town in the heart of conservative lancaster.

[lancdem]

12. You live in Lancaster County?

Me too! :hi:

[pabloseb]

11. Where are the registered voters numbers?

I can't find them anywhere.

[lancdem]

14. It was in an article on another thread

I'll see if I can find it.

[KittyWampus]

5. Give Me A Break! Are You Really Concerned About These Fucking Polls?

[WI_DEM]

7. no are you?

Just sayin we ain't gonna lose Wisconsin. Just making conversation. Is that cool with you?

[montana500]

8. Ill take those numbers. Thats a Kerry win.

I would take tonights zogby numbers too. That's a kerry win as well.

All the numbers are showing a Kerry win.

[jefferson_dem]

9. Gallup = supreme crapola

What a bunch of funky nonsensical numbers. Down in PA and by that much in WI? Fuck that. That being said, i LOVE those FL and OH digits.

Oh well...it's all about the voters now. Let's rock n' roll!

[MoonRiver]

10. ARGH, now I know why CNN.coN is reporting Newsweek poll all day,

and not their very own Gallup, which has them tied for once. :puke::puke::puke:

[MasonJar]

13. I do not know about Florida (there the crooked Jeb factor is

unfortunately in play) or Ohio, but I just talked to my daughter (known here as Ramsey) and she assures me that Pa. is going Kerry. The dems have registered 100,000 new voters just in Philly.

[nickn777]

15. LOL....Zogby has Kerry up by 8 in Wisc.

WTF??

If 3 million people show up to vote in Wisconsin, thats about a 240,000 or almost quarter of a million vote swing between Zogby's total from a day ago and Gallups from today, if my quick math is correct.

I can see the headline at Faux/CNN: "Quarter of a Million Wisconsin Voters Switch to Bush"

Ridiculous, something is very wrong with the polls. This is a 16 point swing from +8 to -8.....Can't be.

[baltodemvet]

16. PA is blue!

Dems from all over have been all over that state, working small cities that have never seen a registration/gotv effort on this scale. With decent turn-out in Philly & Pittsburgh, there's no doubt in my mind that PA will go blue--decisively.

[andym]

17. The poll to poll variation is pretty big right now.

With the polling very close at the national level, and the variation in the state polling, the only conclusion we can be sure of, is that it appears that the election may hinge on GOTV. If you live in any state where Kerry doesn't lead by more than 7-8% in every poll, please help with GOTV. You may very well might make the difference.

[tsuki]

18. I saw this on CNN.

Stooge divided up the battle states and said Kerry would get 265 electorial votes and Bush 249 (the exact numbers I cannot remember, how many of those guys are there anyway?) Well, what's gonna happin? What're we gonna do? Chicken Little and Barnyard Friends watching the sky fall.

Maybe while they're watching the skies with their mouth hung open, it will rain, and they will drown.

That would be the best of all possible television worlds.

[liberalpragmatist]

19. Whatever. I'd take a loss in PA if we get OH and FL

I doubt this poll. While I like it, I'll wait till I know some of the internals whether or not to trust it.

I highly doubt that Pennsylvania will go to Bush barring a decisive Bush win.

Frankly, though, if we lost Pennsylvania but won Ohio, Florida, and held most of the upper midwest and other Gore states, we'd still win. I only care about 270.

That being said, it would be a major fluke if by some bizarre offhand chance Bush won Pennsylvania but lost Ohio and Florida.

LP's final call: 299 to 239 OR 306 to 232 (depending on Iowa).

[George_Bonanza]

20. Florida, Ohio, and Penn. are all going Kerry

I always felt Ohio was the weakest of them all, but I'm confident the jobs issue will win over enough voters at the end.