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Gallup has Kerry winning Florida and Ohio. We know he's going to win PA.

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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:25 PM
Original message
Gallup has Kerry winning Florida and Ohio. We know he's going to win PA.
Awesome.

Poll: Bush, Kerry split six key states
National survey of likely voters also too close to call

In the battleground state polls, only in two places did a survey indicate a clear advantage to a candidate, given the same margin of error.

Those states were Wisconsin, where Bush led by 8 points, and Minnesota, where Kerry led by 8 points.

In the other states, Bush had leads of 2 points in Iowa and 4 points in Pennsylvania. Kerry had leads of 3 points in Florida and 4 points in Ohio.

Perhaps the most significant shift in the poll was in Florida, where the same survey indicated Bush ahead by 8 points among likely voters last week, though other state polls indicated a much tighter race.

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/31/poll.sunday/
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deadparrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:27 PM
Response to Original message
1. I don't trust Gallup. Period.
Though I badly wish (and hope) he's right about OH and FL, I can't just drop my bias toward this poll when they give me the results I like. They've had insane * leads in national polls. I don't know if their state data is much better.
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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:38 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Kerry is leading in most other OH and FL polls
!
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deadparrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Maybe, but they have been all over the place.
We NEED OH, because FL is at best a tossup, what with Jeb and all in power.

BUT, if we can take Flohpa, I honestly think it's all over.
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pabloseb Donating Member (510 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Kerry is leading PA among RVs

It's their LV that is pure crap.
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fugue Donating Member (846 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:43 PM
Response to Reply #1
7. But I thought they were always biased toward Bush
Doesn't that mean that if even they are calling those states for Kerry, he has significant leads there?
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fujiyama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:27 PM
Response to Original message
2. We're not losing WI
or PA.

In fact I'm feeling more confident we're taking all the states Gore won, plus OH, FL, NH, and maybe NV.
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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:37 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. YUP...Kerry has closed WI in last few days
.
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