newsguyatl
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:12 PM
Original message |
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Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 09:13 PM by newsguyatl
Which state, if any, do you think will have all the politicos and pundits on Tuesday night in total shock?
I'll go first -- I think VA is going Kerry.
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Arkana
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:15 PM
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It'll go blue by like 2% and it'll shock the pundits.
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progressivebydesign
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:16 PM
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newsguyatl
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:17 PM
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progressivebydesign
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:26 PM
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32. Was that a LOL about my choice? Or... well.. you know.. n/t |
newsguyatl
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:35 PM
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38. haha, sorry, i thought you were joking |
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but more power to you if you think idaho can go blue!!
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WINEWOMAN7
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:44 PM
Response to Reply #32 |
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Don't laugh. I have lived in Idaho my whole life. There is an increase in new voters in Idaho as well. I personally know Repubicans voting for Kerry. I don't know if Idaho will go blue but I don't think it will be a landslide for Bush. Remember, Idaho is a state that also elected Frank Church and Cecil Andurs.
Dian
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Mr_Spock
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:55 PM
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NNadir
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:16 PM
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3. Texas. Missouri. Arkansas. |
WolverineDG
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:21 PM
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Shrubbie's having to make a campaign stop here in dallas tomorrow.
dg
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lastliberalintexas
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:25 PM
Response to Reply #21 |
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Saying it will be a surprise doesn't mean Kerry wins it- but it certainly is looking like it will be closer than we ever could have imagined.
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Guava Jelly
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:16 PM
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alot of new registered voters
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missouri dem
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:18 PM
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12. And a great groud campaign. |
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We know where our voters are and will not let them stay home on Tuesday.
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nookiemonster
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:23 PM
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25. That is great news!! The new voter trend will swing it to Blue |
Orangepeel
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:16 PM
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newsguyatl
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:17 PM
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i doubt nevada either way would be |
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much of a surprise.
it's considered a battleground state.
i'm talking about a state that's considered in the bag for one or the other.
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Downtown Hound
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:18 PM
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it'll be close but Kerry will take it.
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Bozos for Bush
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:17 PM
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Big Dog is gonna come through.
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CoolOnion
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:17 PM
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Straight Shooter
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:18 PM
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16. Texas? He said "shock the pundits," not give them heart attacks! |
cheshire
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:17 PM
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kevin881
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:17 PM
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Straight Shooter
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:17 PM
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and I'll second you on Virginia.
:thumbsup:
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wellstone_democrat
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:18 PM
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newsguyatl
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:20 PM
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i don't know why, but i just have this GUT feeling kerry's gonna take VA.
i wish to god, the kerry camp would make a last minute surprise visit to va, and scare the shit out of bushco.
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magnolia
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:39 PM
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I don't want a visit to scare our repubs...I like them the way they are, nice and complacent with a false sense of confidence.
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newsguyatl
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:52 PM
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johnnyrocket
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:54 PM
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47. Kerry's gonna do it! VA by 1 or 2 points for Kerry! |
Sparkly
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:59 PM
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56. That's my feeling too -- if anywhere, Virginia |
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I'd love to see Arkansas go blue too, though!
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NastyDiaper
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:18 PM
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Road Scholar
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:23 PM
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26. Ditto!!! Carolina blue. !!!!!!!!! n/t |
newsguyatl
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:27 PM
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34. i love your enthusiam |
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and i hope you're right, but north carolina is one of the reddest states in the nation.
it'd take a miracle for kerry to pull it thru.
but we can all hope right?
GOTV!
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Lex
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:16 PM
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62. NOT. Last time I looked, Bush was only ahead by 3 points here. |
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And they sent Cheney to Wilmington last week because they are clearly nervous.
North Carolina is hardly one of the "reddest states" in the nation.
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KoKo
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Mon Nov-01-04 12:02 AM
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77. Agree....I think NC will squeak through...At least our numbers so far with |
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early vote are looking really good. Now if the fundies send out mobs on Tuesday...it could throw it...but I know Dems who've tried to vote two and three times in early voting but lines too long and they said they will be there on Election Day until the polls close to vote to get Bush out..
So...I think...it's THE SURPRISE...15 Electoral Votes.
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Zynx
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:18 PM
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15. Virginia or Missouri. |
Norbert
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:19 PM
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I think they will be pissed that Rove used the Bible as a prop to get them to vote for bush.
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clydefrand
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:19 PM
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Kal Belgarion
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:19 PM
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I'm feeling good about our chances there. I think there are plenty of Republicans there who're going to pull the lever for Kerry.
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Brucey
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:21 PM
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22. You won't like this.... |
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Florida will be the one talked about again.... Votes will favor Kerry, but count will go to Bush*. It will anger people again. Shrub's election will be illegitimate again. (I so hope that I am wrong!!)
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newsguyatl
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:25 PM
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29. yeh, well florida's florida |
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in this thread, i'm talking about those states that AREN'T battlegrounds.
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Oreo
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:25 PM
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30. I'm resigned to this fact |
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FL is going to be stolen but I think Kerry will still win. I would love to see a Kerry win and somehow for actionable proof to show that Bush stole FL.
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Endangered Specie
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:27 PM
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yardwork
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:56 PM
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52. I agree - I predict a win for Kerry in North Carolina |
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and I'm certain of a Kerry win in Virginia. I would bet on Virginia.
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HFishbine
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:13 PM
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60. NC - Record-breaking turnout |
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GOTV like you've never seen before, BAaaaBBYY! State Board of Elections is now predicting 66% turnout -- largest ever! Early voters nearly 40% of 2000 total (majority Dem).
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johnnyrocket
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:56 PM
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51. Bush voted out PLUS jail time! Cool, that would be sweet justice! |
Oreo
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:22 PM
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I was just their a couple weeks ago and the Kerry signs were everywhere. My mom and dad are actually canvassing... I was shocked. My mom said 2 Kerry people from DC knocked on their door the other day and were in a really good mood. I wonder if Kerry/Edwards know something more than they're letting on about North Cackalacky.
I NC turning blue would make up for the travesty they call Helms
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carolinalady
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:53 PM
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44. i agree very blue in Wilmington |
Claire Beth
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:57 PM
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53. I'm pulling for NC everyday! |
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just like I am TN. There is NO WAY that Chimpy has a double digit lead here.
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madaboutharry
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:22 PM
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Brought to you by the same voters who brought you Gov. Janet Napolitano. The Native American Nations and republican women who are pissed off at the christian right that has taken over the party, don't want their sons blown up in Iraq and are worried about their mothers' social security checks and medicare coverage.
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newsguyatl
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:28 PM
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i know that'd shock the hell out of me!
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Kimber Scott
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:18 PM
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63. Get ready for a jolt! nt |
vademocrat
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:23 PM
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In Richmond we've gotten 215 volunteer drivers for the GOTV effort on tuesday - WAY more than expected. I've got a good feeling that VA's going BLUE this year!
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newsguyatl
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:31 PM
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you're right, if northern and parts of central va turns out strong, you guys can beat out redneck southern va, and turn that state blue, it really can happen.
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vademocrat
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:43 PM
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41. The Roanoke Times endorsed Kerry - SW VA is hurting under * |
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I think it's a realistic possibility - one that will shock the "pundits".
:D
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johnnyrocket
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:59 PM
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55. Oh, the 'pundits' are going to be more than shocked! DEMORALIZED.. |
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more like it!
Does anyone else get the feeling that the big media pundits are droning their predictions yet they come across as archaic thinkers...it's like they're all dinosaurs.
Let's hope they're all extinct very soon!
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twenty2strings
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:25 PM
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:kick: i've been in this state since 1980 and i still cant figure it out. some really nice smart people but we were kind of a rebel state in the first civil war. why "civil" war? it wasn't... maybe the next one will be. as zappa sez; TAX THE CHURCHES!
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Amaya
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:26 PM
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southern democrat
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:26 PM
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33. I agree on Va and NC may be a shocker |
The River
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Sun Oct-31-04 09:41 PM
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I live in the shadow of Jefferson's Tomb He has been spinning in his grave since December '00 and making quite a racket. His Democracy is in grave danger! Lately though, he has begun to slow down. After each Presidential debate the RPM's decreased. With just a few hours to go he is nearly quiet now, secure in the knowledge his State will help return Democracy to his beloved mountain.
Even the dead know Bush* is toast.
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Claire Beth
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:54 PM
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I live here and there is NO WAY that chimpy has a double digit lead. I hear too many reports from too many people all across the state. If Chimpy wins here, I believe it will be very close.
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cynatnite
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:01 PM
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57. I think TN will be a very hard win |
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if it's a win at all. I'm not sure what to think when it comes to this state.
Last night when I took my son out, yeah, we had Halloween last night, I saw nothing but * signs <sigh> but we did go to the well-to-do part of town. It was a little depressing.
* will have a hard time winning this state. I can't see it by such a wide margin as has been said.
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mvd
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:54 PM
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Virginia and Arkansas, too. I think there could be three surprise states in favor of Kerry.
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JohnLocke
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:55 PM
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Mr_Spock
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:55 PM
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kaitykaity
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Sun Oct-31-04 10:58 PM
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Thank you, Big Dog. :loveya:
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ThePhilosopher04
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:09 PM
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58. I too think Virginia will be the shocker... |
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but if you want to place a longshot bet, place it on Louisiana! All of the recent polls show Shrub up substantially, but if there is an overwhelming turnout, it will certainly be close and I wouldn't be surprised if the Bayou State turns blue.
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lastliberalintexas
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:32 PM
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LA should go Dem. And the last couple of major elections in LA have gone Dem (Landrieu in 2002 and the state races in 2003). I'll actually be more surprised (and disappointed) if my Cajun friends go repub than if VA goes Dem!
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iwantmycountryback
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:11 PM
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I can tell it's gonna be a shocker. That or Missouri or Arkansas. Or maybe Utah. ;)
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newsguyatl
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:15 PM
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Technowitch
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:22 PM
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Okay, maybe not Texas.
Arkansas tops my list of 'surprise' states that seem likely to go Dem this year.
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tbetz
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:22 PM
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65. Does anyone know what Gore was polling in VA this time in 2000? |
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I see Kerry is polling now the same percentage Gore received in the actual 2000 vote, 43%. What was Gore polling in VA the weekend before election day?
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uhhuh
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:25 PM
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Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 11:26 PM by uhhuh
I know, I Know. But it could happen!
I think Daschle would be the most shocked.
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Demi_Babe
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:25 PM
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MO_Dem
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:35 PM
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70. I would love for it to be MO |
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But there's probably a better chance that it'd be AR, what with Big Dog being there today.
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Tatiana
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:42 PM
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Also New Hampshire, Nevada, and I agree with Virginia.
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Renew Deal
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:42 PM
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T Bone
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:47 PM
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73. Kentucky or South Dakota |
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We won special congressional elections there in areas that went for Bush in 2000.
I will grant they are longshots, but that is why it will be surprising.
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absolutezero
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:48 PM
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74. I know it's been said already |
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but I think Texas....hell, all of them hopefully, I'd like to see the pundits on faux figure that one out
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ZombieNixon
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:55 PM
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Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 11:55 PM by ZombieNixon
and raise you an Arkansas.
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LiberteToujours
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Sun Oct-31-04 11:56 PM
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Maiden England
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Mon Nov-01-04 12:06 AM
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watch us go blue and the GOP have a cow. Marvellous television, marvellous.
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Kazak
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Mon Nov-01-04 12:19 AM
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Naaaah...doubt it, but I would love it!! My vote would actually count for once.
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Mon Nov-01-04 12:21 AM
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The Utes are on the warpath...
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Mon Nov-01-04 01:44 AM
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and possibly Colorado. Now, if Virginia goes Kerry, the media will be exploding.
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LSK
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Mon Nov-01-04 02:01 AM
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86. Arkansas, Colorado, Missouri, North Carolina |
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Edited on Mon Nov-01-04 02:01 AM by LSK
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