Slate Says 30% have voted early in FL- Kerry Leads

[redstateblues]

http://slate.msn.com/id/2108961/

[ryban]

1. From USA Today...

<snip>

In Florida, 30% of registered voters said they already had cast their ballots, using early voting sites and absentee ballots. They supported Kerry 51%-43%.

<snip>

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/2004-10-31-poll-x_x.htm

[npincus]

2. if this be the case, CAN Shrubby catch up?

[Silverhair]

3. That's NOT an early vote count.

It is a subset of a Gallup poll. He found that 30% of his sample had already voted. He then asked for whom. Note that the numbers are 51%K 43%B. What happened to the other 7%? Subset polls are next to worthless due to the small numbers involved. You get huge MOEs.