NO Republican has won in modern era w/o carrying Independents!

[flpoljunkie]

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/archives/000900.php

October 31, 2004

Kerry's Lead Among Independents Makes Bush's Situation Extremely Dire

By Alan Abramowitz

No Republican in the modern era has won a presidential election without carrying the independent vote. In the 2000 election, despite losing the national popular vote, George Bush led Al Gore by a narrow margin among independent voters. However, according to the final, supersized Gallup Poll, John Kerry now has an 8 point lead over George Bush among independent voters. In fact, Kerry led Bush among independents in all four Gallup polls this month--by an average of 6 points. This is one more piece of evidence that George Bush's situation is extremely dire.

Posted by Ruy Teixeira at 11:26 PM

Ruy Teixeira is a Senior Fellow at The Century Foundation and
the Center for American Progress

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Let's hope this holds tomorrow!