New Zogby....Kerry ahead in 9 of 16 battleground states

[Fla Dem]

All of Bush leaning states are only 5 points or less, while Kerry has healthy leads in several states.

.......Bush.....Kerry.......Kerry +/- ..EV's.......2000
NH......46%.......50%....+4............4............B
PA.......45........50.......+5...........21............G
OH......48........44.......-4.............20...........B
WV......50........46.......-4.............5............B
TN.......50........47.......-3............11...........B
FL.......47........48.......+1...........27............B
MI......45........52.......+7............17............G
WI......44........51.......+7............10............G
MN......47........49.......+2............10............G
IA......44........50.......+6.............7.............G
MO.....51........47.........-4............11............B
AR.....50........47.........-3.............6............B
NM.....49........49..........0.............5............G
NV.....50........45.........-5.............5............B
OR.....44........54......+10...........7.............G
WA.....43........55......+12..........11.............G


http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-battleground04.html

[WI_DEM]

1. look at those numbers from Tennessee and Arkansas

both within three points.

[helpisontheway]

5. Maybe that 3 pt margin will disappear

in ARkansas after the Clinton visit. I hope so. People are voting big time in Memphis (according to my mom). I would like to see my home state of TN go to Kerry too. Of course, I live in Virginia and would like to see him have that state too. LOL I want him to win but I would also love for him to win BIG to really knock them down a peg or two. LOL

[Jersey Devil]

8. and he is not polling VA or NC

If I hear "too close to call" for any of those states tomorrow night I am going to be so excited I don't know if I will be able to control myself.

[helpisontheway]

2. Good.....call me

greedy but I WANT OHIO FOR KERRY!!!!!! I don't live there but I know how much the Bush administration wants it so I want Kerry to take it from them!!!

[Beetwasher]

3. Why Are His OH Numbers So Out Of Line W/ Other Polls?

Pretty much every other poll has K ahead by a few points?

Hmmm, NM dead even...Kerry should pull that out for sure...

TN!!!!!!!!!!!!! Only 3 points!!!!

[Tesibria]

4. this is all great (but yesterday's # - Zogby hasn't released today's yet)

...
at least I don't think so -- and these all seem to match yesterday's numbers -- am comparing right now.

[Fla Dem]

7. According to information on link polls conducted through 10/31.

And reported as of 11/1/04. Let me know if I am reading this wrong. Don't want to be a misleader. LOL

[Jersey Devil]

9. Yes he has - early release on his site.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews921.html

[sampsonblk]

6. Zogby vs CNN/Gallup

In Wisconsin, Zogby has Kerry by 7, CNN/Gallup has Bush by 8. We are going to learn something (again) about which polling companies to trust. They can't both be right.

[Fla Dem]

10. There will definitely be a lot of finger pointing. n/t

[Fla Dem]

11. There will definitely be a lot of finger pointing. n/t dupe.sorry

got an error message so hit post again. Admin please delete.

[TexasSissy]

12. I don't consider a number of these states battlegrounds.

Arkansas, Washington, Oregon, Tennessee, W. Virginia - sure, they're close, but fully expected to vote as they normally do in the end.

[Sean Reynolds]

13. So final EC based on these #: Kerry 286, Bush 252!

WE WIN!

And that's GIVING them New Mexico!

[jburton]

14. Bush is Screwed!!!! Ahead in TN by only 3 pts?

Sorry folks, Tennessee should be Bush* ahead by 10 points if he is doing so great.

Looks good for Kerry from a national #s point ov view.

[amandabeech]

15. Anyone know if this is "likely" or "registered?"

The link doesn't say.

We all know that a poll of "registered" voters will show Kerry with a stronger lead, and may very well better represent results in a high-turnout election.