Liberal Oasis Reports Good News From Colorado

[GDoyle]

Liberal Oasis, an underrated blog, has good news from the ground in Colorado:

"For three days, LiberalOasis has been working with the Colorado Democratic Party to get out the vote. Some observations and scuttlebut...

The rank-and-file here are optimistic and enthusiastic. Many pundits have taken Colorado off the battleground map, but there is no evidence of that on the ground.

From what LO can pick up, it seems like the state party likes its internal data.

Plus, this is the strongest GOTV effort Colorado Dems have put on in recent memory, according to locals.

Out of state volunteers are prevalent here (though the vast majority of volunteers are Coloradans).

LO has heard that some Ohio volunteers were redirected to Colorado, which can only be interpreted as a sign of ample resources, allowing us to spread the field and contest everywhere that's plausible.

Both major papers in Denver give Bush a solid lead in their weekend polls, but it has not been mentioned among the volunteers, and confidence has not been shaken.

Why? Most likely it's because both were "likely voter" polls, and as Colorado Luis notes, they are not taking into account the already high levels of turnout in early voting.

And the Dems here feel good that the new voters will go Kerry's way.

Since 1964, no Dem has received more than 45% in CO (Dukakis). Clinton won the state in 1992 with 40%, and lost it in 1996 with 44%.

Gore got only 42% here, but there was an above average Nader vote of 5%.

That Nader vote speaks to a big independent streak in CO. Perot got 23% in 1992. John Anderson got 11% in 1980.

This year, there are Republicans showing that independent spirit, who are actively volunteering for Kerry (while there is little Nader presence).

To win in CO, Kerry needs to hold Gore's share, add Nader's, add some new voters, and pick off some independent-minded GOPers.

From the looks of things on the ground, those pieces may well be falling into place."

http://www.liberaloasis.com/

GDoyle

[kainah]

1. I left Wyoming two weeks ago

I live in Laramie but came to WV to be with my sister for the election. Laramie is only a few miles from the Colorado border. Before I left, I knew of several people who were going down to Colorado -- Fort Collins -- to work for the Dems.

[GDoyle]

2. Cool

Have you heard from them since with any updates? What do they say about both the Kerry-Bush race and Ken Salazar's race?

GDoyle