HARRIS poll(s)- phone and online newswire-, not final poll

[jezebel]

http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=105&STORY=/www/story/11-01-2004/0002349678

ROCHESTER, N.Y., Nov. 1 /PRNewswire/ -- This release gives the results of
both of Harris Interactive's latest telephone and online polls. They show
somewhat different results. The online survey shows President Bush trailing
Senator Kerry by two points among likely voters(1). Our telephone survey
shows President Bush with a four-point lead over Senator Kerry.
These are the results of two nationwide surveys of likely voters conducted
by Harris Interactive(R) in the United States between October 29 and 31, 2004:

-- A survey of 3,926 likely voters conducted online.
-- A survey of 1,092 likely voters conducted by telephone.

Not our final surveys
This is NOT the final Harris Interactive poll release before this
election. We will continue to poll throughout today, Monday, November 1, and
will analyze and release the results some time tonight or tomorrow morning
before the "real" polls open and people begin voting in person. Because, in
the past, voting intentions have continued to move right up to the last moment
of an election campaign, we believe it is important to continue our polling
until Monday evening.

People with cell phones and no landlines
One subject of much discussion in this election is that a growing number
of people have no traditional "landline" phones but have cell phones and
cannot be reached by traditional telephone surveys.
Data from our online survey suggest that six percent (6%) of all likely
voters now fall into this category and that they are voting strongly for John
Kerry by 56 to 38 percent over President Bush.
These results suggest that telephone surveys which miss almost everyone
without landlines will, even if they are accurate, slightly overestimate
President Bush's vote and slightly underestimate Senator Kerry's vote. This
also explains a small part of the difference between our online and telephone
surveys.

-----------------------------------------
Much bigger sample size in the online poll

[Mr_Spock]

1. "Data from our online survey suggest that six percent (6%) of all likely

voters now fall into this category and that they are voting strongly for John Kerry by 56 to 38 percent over President Bush.
These results suggest that telephone surveys which miss almost everyone without landlines will, even if they are accurate, slightly overestimate President Bush's vote and slightly underestimate Senator Kerry's vote. This also explains a small part of the difference between our online and telephone surveys."


Wow, all I can say is WOW!!!