Final Polls are in but what are Futures Markets saying in real time?

[Confident]

Tradesports, Iowa Electronic Markets, Ladbrokes all have websites (that I can't access from work!) - they will offer the best/only real-time feedback we get until tonight

[cardlaw]

1. Tradesports --

Symbol Bid Ask Last Vol Chge

PRESIDENT.GWBUSH2004 54.7 55.2 54.0 1.1m +1.0
PRESIDENT.KERRY2004 44.2 46.4 45.0 120.8k -2.0
BUSH.FLORIDA 52.0 55.7 52.0 17.8k -4.2
BUSH.MINNESOTA 21.1 23.0 23.0 14.4k -2.6
BUSH.OHIO 58.0 58.4 58.0 21.1k +6.1
BUSH.ELECTORAL+300 24.5 25.1 25.0 22.8k +1.7
BUSH.POPULARVOTE 53.5 54.8 54.7 11.8k +2.7
SENATE.SD.DASCHLE 37.0 39.0 37.0 4608 -5.0
NFL.PATRIOTS 18.0 19.5 17.0 21.9k 0
BCS.SOUTHERNCAL 38.0 40.0 40.0 5563 -0.9

[Confident]

2. NOT GOOD!!

[endnote]

3. Tradesport gamblers are the same drunk addicts who bet on stupid

sport races. They have no better information and have the same wishful thinking biases as everybody else. Given that gambling addicts tend to be Republican (with their obsession about money, this is not surprising), what's the surprise there ?

[cardlaw]

4. Eh.

Who cares? They don't know anything more than we do. Just a bunch of idiots with more money than brains.