electoral-vote.com tied up.

[Worst Username Ever]

http://www.electoral-vote.com

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

1. Uhm, NO.

[Jersey Devil]

2. try the alternate sites

electoral-vote2.com, also 3, 4 and 5

[phish420]

12. Version 1.0. This page is preliminary. Check back later.

[GreenPartyVoter]

3. Tied up as in busy or neck and neck?

[Worst Username Ever]

18. Neck and neck, 262-261 BUT

It is biased repug with strategic vision, etc. Tie would go to us, I imagine.

[MallRat]

4. And that's with Fox & Strategic Vision polls.

Remove them, and Kerry opens up a decent lead.

-MR

[Bucky]

10. actually Fox's polling recently shows more of a Kerry lead

[MallRat]

14. Not in Wisconsin, I believe.

Also, Fox's Ohio poll shows a massive pro-Bush swing in the last two days... something like Kerry +7 to Kerry +1.

Hard to believe that.

-MR

[requiem99]

5. HELLO, IGNORE IT. Notice where he mentions outlier polls on the chart

Thanks to his whack methodology the latest polls go up on the chart even though they are outliers. For a smart guy he sure is stupid.

[Walt Starr]

6. Yep, under the standards of the 2000 election we have a tie

298 Kerry to 231 Bush with New Hampshire and New Mexico tied is certainly a tie and the SCOTUS must immediately determine that Bush won.

:eyes:

[Worst Username Ever]

17. Clear your cache. It is 262-261

But biased repug. Tie goes to us.

[BUSHOUT]

27. Cache has nothign to do with it. You got a link? electoral-vote.com

shows Nov.1st numbers.

[Worst Username Ever]

29. Nov 2, 262-261

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

[BUSHOUT]

30. Nope, that link gives Nov 1 K298 n/t

[Worst Username Ever]

31. Dude, your cache is storing your images from yesterday. Hit refresh

next time you go there. Everyone else on this page is seeing it.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x1274441

[troublemaker]

7. Jesus H. Christ... please notice that NJ is not included in the tally.

[Hoffnung]

8. Bullshit!

I will be so pissed if Kerry wins the popular vote and they tie up the electorial vote!

[phish420]

9. Huh? I still see 298-231 Kerry

[Worst Username Ever]

13. Clear your cache

if you check the date you are probably looking at Nov 1 numbers. New numbers are 262-261, I think.

[montana500]

11. what an asshole

why did the guy use fox and strategic vision repub polls to end it?

Whazt a fucking dick.

[Worst Username Ever]

15. That's fine though

since we know it is biased repug, a tie goes to us.

[mountebank]

20. He didn't choose to use those polls. He has an impartial methodology.

Use the latest polls. If Fox/Strategic Vision had been show to be untrustworthy (any more than other polls) he wouldn't use them. It's an attempt to be impartial - you wouldn't know much about that. For fuck's sake, this guy is on OUR side - that being Kerry's side. But I guess the sligtest impartiality gets you balls among many on DU. Get a grip and read his explanation below before you call him an asshole. If not, you definitely come out looking like the asshole.

[siliconefreak]

16. he never got it

Unfortunately, his site became the most popular prediction site on the web. For a day or two, he published averaged polls, but then said that he got so much negative feedback that he decided to go back to the "last poll in" system. It's stupid.

[mountebank]

23. It's really not stupid.

What would be stupid would be to average new polls with polls that are moot. It just so happened FOX/Strategic Vision and Survey USA got in the last batch of polls. Tough shit. He explains in the text that if you don't like it, you can add/subtract EVs to your heart's content. I personally appreciate that he didn't change his methodology to meet his partisan ends.

The guy is obviously a progressive liberal, but also a rational thinker committed to IMPARTIALITY.

[No Mandate Here.]

19. Possibly Freep Hacked??

Since the author was identified as an ExPat living in Old Europe?

[republicansareevil]

21. ELECTORAL-VOTE.COM RESULTS POSTED HERE

In case the website has too much traffic...

K=Kerry
bK=barely Kerry
T=exactly tied
bB=barely Bush
B=Bush

		AVG'D		CURRENT		**PREDICTED**			                 
CO		B		bB		T	            
FL		bB		bK		bK	           
HI		B		bB		bK
	            
IA		T		K		K            
MI		bK		K		K            
MN		bK		K		K 
           
MO		B		B		bB	            
NH		bK		T		bK	            
NM		bB		T		T	
            
NV		bB		B		bB	            
OH		bB		bK		bK	            
PA		bK		bK		K    
        
VA		bB		bB		bB	            
WI		bK		K		K    


Kerry		248		298		306
Bush    	283    		231		218

[mumon]

22. No it's not

NJ is "Strategic Vision" = meaningless.

And Wisconsin's old- Zogby's got it for Kerry today.

Look at final projected results - clear Kerry win.

[Oddman]

24. How the hell can it swing that much in one day????

WTF??

[Worst Username Ever]

25. Strategic vision

biased towards repug. Which means the tie goes to us.

[mountebank]

26. Ohio and Wisconsin to *. New Jersey to a tie.

From Kerry. Again - you can take it or leave it. It's within the statistical margin of error and thus basically meaningless. But a 30 EV swing on this web site is not unprecedented. There have been much bigger one-day swings.

[harpo]

28. electoral-vote.com is not something you should be relying on

[Tim_in_HK]

32. If you notice,

that has NJ as a toss-up . . . which ain't gonna happen.

NJ has 15. Add that to Kerry's 262 and he's at 277.

It also has HI as red. Also highly unlikely.

[Mr_Spock]

33. Hmmm, another post repeating this same information

Yawn - the polls will be closed in a few hours - are we STILL gonna post predictions after that too>?