Zogby - "Watch PA, VA, CO, Florida for surprises"

[kevin881]

www.zogby.com

Look at his electoral map, and the scrolling text below it.

[aquart]

1. They're giving Florida to Bush. This is NOT a big surprise.

Votes don't count in Florida.

[Mabus]

3. You mean Crawford East? Or is it Kennebunkport South? n/t

[eaprez]

2. Last night he had Florida being the tie breaker...

...he changed the data but not the date/time of the poll.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

4. Ohio is winnable!!!

:wtf: is Zogby talking about???

Ohio is winnable, more so than Florida (Jeb)!

[denverbill]

5. If CO goes, I'd be more than surprised. And extremely happy.

But I just can't see it happening.

I'm just hoping Salazar can beat Coors. Even that would be a major victory.

[fertilizeonarbusto]

6. Hate to break it to Zogby

but I'm here in PA. Kerry will win and it won't be close.

[kevin881]

7. The big problem here is that Zogby is insinuating that PA might go for *

Kerry can NOT lose PA.

[fertilizeonarbusto]

12. Zogby's on crack on that one

believe me

[durablend]

17. He must be figuring on all the K/E votes being tossed out

It's the only explanation...

[flowomo]

29. No it isn't.... the "surprise" will be a huge Kerry margin.....

It was supposed to be close. and there is some evidence of that landslide happening.

[fjc]

8. What does "Big" suprise mean?

A BIG suprise is not Florida going for Bush, but VA going for Kerry. It's hard to tell what Zogby is saying in that text.

[geek tragedy]

9. His state predictions SUCK. Ignore them.

He's okay, but no great shakes, nationally.

He had California as a tie in 2000. Oops.

[Longhorn]

10. Even though we feel confident these states will go for Kerry

if you read the MSM, many of these would be surprises because they've practically already been calling FL, OH, and PA for Bush*.

In other words, the "surprise" won't be on us -- it will be on THEM! :bounce:

[chappaquadem]

11. Penn

Perhaps he's saying that it won't be close in PA?

[flowomo]

30. right..... big Kerry win

[Javaman]

13. Zogby is trying to remain vital. He knows with the web and with cell phone

users he doesn't have a clue as to who is going to win.
Oooo, boogada boogada!! surprises woooo surprises!!!

[debatepro]

14. we will not lose fl and OH

he is on crack

[Name removed]

21. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[EagleEye]

15. If his EV Prediction is FL to Bush then the surprise

would be it going to Kerry.

[The Chronicler]

16. Is this based on exit polling?

[durablend]

19. Somebody said it's phone polling

Which means it's probably worth what you paid for the information.

[Snivi Yllom]

18. So does that mean PA is going Bush?

and VA to Kerry?

[newsguyatl]

20. IF bush wins oh and pa

kerry will HAVE to take wi, fl, va and co or he'll lose.

[Doctor_J]

22. IF bush wins oh and pa

it will mean they stole the election again

[republicansareevil]

23. I don't believe it.

There are a number of states "redder" than PA and "bluer" than VA. If PA and VA were tied, I would expect most of those states to be tied as well. Kerry is not going to lose or barely win PA *and* win CO. Bush is not going to lose VA *and* win both OH and FL (without cheating).

[DemocratSinceBirth]

27. I Agree With You...

Zogby is pulling numbers out of his ass...

The Dems haven't carried Virginia since 1964....


Correct me if I'm wrong .... I think I'm close....


I also think Virginia was the only southern state that went for Ford in 76....

[fugop]

24. Son of a ...

So what, he's implying they're tied and the surprise is that Pa. goes Bush and Va. goes Kerry? Or that all of those calls may still switch? Very confused ... and discouraged.

[durablend]

25. Cut this crap out already

There's still at least six hours to vote in Pennsylvania and yet Zogby is already calling the state based on some mysterious information he's received? Puh-leez... :eyes:

[fugop]

26. thanks, bush_has_to_go

I needed that. I've been so confident for two days, then I saw this stupid zogby thing and let it get to me. Deep breaths. Landslide.

[nolabels]

28. She said "Gomer that's not my belly button"

Can someone please direct me to the Nervous Nelly Forum, I made all the correct right turns and I appear to be going left :silly: