How Is It REALLY Going? (NO Partisan Fluff Please)

[matcom]

been following all day. i know about the EARLY exit stuff - not relavent

give me some HARD stuff!

how, REALLY is it going and what do we base it on?

thanks. :scared:

[judge_smales]

To early to tell

IMHO

[aden_nak]

1. I'll get back to you tomorrow. ;)

[sister moon]

2. You like it hard, do you?

[lancdem]

3. OK, how about the fact that everyone knew

if turnout was huge, Kerry would win, and we have exactly that?

[RogueTrooper]

4. Something hard?

how about a nice single malt?

[toddaa]

13. It WAS a nice single malt

Now it's just slush. Save the ice for the overpriced vodka stuff.

[Borgnine]

5. Well...

My soothsayer neighbor is calling it for Kerry. Is that hard enough for you?

[DrZhivago]

12. I agree voter turnout is the best indicator

I live in TX, and I never seen so many minorities and women in my neighborhood, until I went and voted.

[Walt Starr]

6. This will be pretty decisive for Kerry

No landslide, but a decisive victory.

[Shadder]

7. Turnout

Look at the turnout. Ignore everything else right now and focus on that. It should tell you a great deal if your look at it vrs previous elections.

[are_we_united_yet]

8. don't know

[Mojambo]

9. Better than average

The turnout numbers are better than expected.

Looking good.

[KingChicken]

10. You know the score, its extremely positive, keep up the work!

[edhopper]

11. Early reports

on turnout and leaked exit numbers look good. We can be cautiously optimistic. But it is to early to tell.

[pointblank]

15. My Future wife's dad has always been a hardcore repub (ex army, country...

has always been a hardcore repub (ex army, country music fan etc)...he even donated money to the repuke party early on and got one of those signed bush monkey pics at Christmas time....

HE IS VOTING FOR KERRY.............unbelievable

He says Bush botched Iraq and he is pissed offffffffff


TO me, that is some of the hardest evidence ive heard all day...I truly believe there are a lot like him out there, but they dont DARE admit it.

[Goldmund]

14. Freepers cashing in on Kerry

To: kingu
I bet on kerry at +180 before the first debate, just cashed it in



82 posted on 11/02/2004 1:34:06 PM PST by jern (The only poll that this site think is accurate, is the poll with W. in the lead.)
< Post Reply | Private Reply | To 81 | View Replies | Report Abuse >

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

To: jern
Congrats! Hope you made a bundle!

83 posted on 11/02/2004 1:36:44 PM PST by kingu (Which would you bet on? Iraq and Afghanistan? Or Haiti and Kosovo?)

[NorthernSpy]

20. LOL! -- priceless!

Shrubby's their boy, and they support him to the bitter end -- and yet they're actually shorting his stock?

Dayyum... that's cold.

:evilgrin:

[LSK]

16. media talks about record turnout

That means people are angry and are voting for change. People do not get motivated to vote for status quo.

[Jacobin]

17. I'd like to know the same thing, but all I'm seeing here is

Premature Jubilation. I suppose its too early to know. Feels good yucking it up and celebrating, but its a bit hollow to participate in this until the Fat Lady has Sung.

[pointblank]

18. Right on, DONT get comfortable yet people!!!!

[DrBB]

27. It's a good point, but the broad response

..is an indicator. No one's comparing today against 2002 much. Just from a completely subjective p.o.v., there was a LOT of positive energy here on DU about how things looked right up to the midterm election, but checking in throughout the day it went grim around here VERY early on and stayed that way. Least that was my recollection.

I can't stand to watch the tube at these times, sensitive soul that I am, so I check in here and a few other places to take the temperature. The signals during the first debate, for instance, were amazing and accurate to how things came out.

None of this is Matcom's "hard" evidence, but man, I really prefer seeing that "bandwagon" mood here than otherwise. And it's not just here--it's looking that way on other major lefty sites.

And as Rove knows, the "bandwagon effect" is IMPORTANT.

I feel a LOT like I did watching the last game of the World Series. A 3 point lead is not much to hang on to, but it kept seeming more and more like, oh my god, they might just....

[mistertrickster]

19. Look at it this way--would you rather be supporting Bush or Kerry right

now?

Kerry--gained ground since debates, slightly up in Harris and Zogby polls (the most accurate last time), was up in battleground states, and is WAY UP in the exit polls. Also, huge turnout historically good for Dems and challengers (we're both this time).

Bush--"be afraid, be very afraid," "I'm a war-time pResident" (forget about the fact that I started the war). Bush backers FOX and Novak et al. looking grim.

No fluff . . . Kerry is cruising at this point.

[Taverner]

21. Too Early To Tell - Go Vote and get others to vote

Don't look behind you, just RUN!

[LiberalAndProud]

22. Sarpy County Nebraska: 2 hour wait to vote. VERY unusual.

[Technowitch]

23. Still too early, we still need to GOTV... but it's looking VERY good

[NewYorkerfromMass]

24. the peasants have risen up and stormed the polls

the mass of humanity too much for the Busheviks, they are going down in the face of democracy.

[ScreamingMeemie]

25. MrG voted at 4:30ish. He was voter #870 out of 1100 registered and non

absentee voting voters in our precinct!!! We Are On Our Way!!!! :bounce:

[doni_georgia]

26. Heard someone from inside the Kerry war room

Sounded pumped. Said their internals look good - turnout looks fab in Dem areas. I don't really care about early exit polls, but reading the faces, reading the spin - I think we are in good shape. We have to keep up the GOTV effort. Really important on the west coast. Important for folks out there not to think it's okay to vote Nader or stay home. We want a mandate and we have to remain vigilant. All the people I "adopted" for election day got to the polls and voted Kerry. I'm pumped here.

[havocmom]

28. High turnout is good for us

From the Chicago Sun-Times:
http://www.suntimes.com/output/news/turnout02.html

<snip> Voters certainly seemed energized, as lines could be seen stretching outside polling places around the city. ‘‘The most surprising thing of the whole election is the amount of crowds we’ve had this morning,’’ said Tom Leach, spokesman for the Chicago Election Board. ‘‘People waiting in line to vote when the polls open.’’

<snip> In fact, said Leach, at some polling places a quarter of the entire roster of registered voters had cast their ballots in the first hour. ‘‘That’s just unheard of,’’ he said.

[theboss]

29. I figure we will know around December 15th....

I don't get the jubiliation here. Some exit polls at 2 o'clock basicallly say "it's really close" and we start popping champagne corks. It's strange.

[ibegurpard]

30. Extremely high, if not record-breaking, turnout everywhere.

Including here in most-likely-Bush Billings, Montana. The repukes are energized, too. I just hope to God that we are more so.