Let's Develop a Plan RE: Fraud (Important!)

EOTE

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Thu Nov-04-04 01:01 PM
Original message

Let's Develop a Plan RE: Fraud (Important!)

Edited on Thu Nov-04-04 01:07 PM by EOTE

Let’s Develop a Plan

Like most of you I was and am bitterly disappointed by the results of our national election. Also like most of you I strongly suspect that the presidential election, and perhaps others as well, were stolen by means of the manipulation of computer software used in electronic voting machines. And I think that it is great that so many members of this organization are focusing on this issue and trying to do something about it.

Because I was so strongly predisposed to believe that this election was stolen, after reading the DU home page on November 3rd I was greatly perplexed by the apparent complacency shown by the Democratic leadership and the news media concerning this issue. Don’t they know what’s happening? Why is Paul Begala talking about the need for the Democrats to have a clearer message, rather than the need to expose the election fraud? And why did Kerry concede so early?

However, after I found the time to actually review the information presented by various DUers on this website it became evident to me that the situation is not currently as obvious as I was led (or led myself) to believe. Yes, there is good reason to suspect election fraud. But the analyses that are currently being presented are far from conclusive, and I can certainly understand why responsible news media and even the Democratic leadership are not at this time publicly making a big issue about this.

Therefore, I would like to suggest that we adopt a three step plan, to include: 1) gathering of all relevant data; 2) a complete scientific and unbiased analysis of the data, followed by a report; and, 3) dissemination of the information.

Ideally, the data that we should try to obtain includes:
1) Individual state data on exit polls, including not only the point spreads but the actual numbers used (from which margins of error, or confidence intervals can be determined). To save work we could limit the number of states to those in which the final margin of victory was less than 8%.
2) Geographic distribution on the electronic voting machines, by type of machine, for which no paper trail is available. If we can’t get this information by precinct, then at least we should try to obtain the percent use by state.
3) The methodology that was used to conduct the exit polls.

The analysis would look at the differences between exit poll results and actual vote totals, and compare these differences for geographical areas where paper trails were available versus those where they were not (as well as comparison between different types of voting machines that lack paper trails). The more specific (i.e., smaller) the geographical areas we have to work with the stronger the analysis would be, but if we could only compile information by state that would probably be sufficient. Statistical analysis should be done to determine the probabilities that the observed differences could occur by chance.

I believe that it is very important to do this for two reasons. First, to prevent election fraud in the future, and second, to quell the belief that seems to be sweeping the country that this election constitutes a mandate for Bush and his agenda, and that politicians better fall in line with him if they want to get re-elected.

As an epidemiologist I have performed many studies which utilize methods similar to what I described above, and had the results published in epidemiology, public health, and medical journals. Therefore, I would be happy to do step 2 of the plan I described above if others of you could do steps 1 and 3. Or, if somebody else is already working on this, I would be happy to help out. Whoever writes the report, I think that the full report should be posted on this website, so that others can provide constructive comments and criticism, so as to provide an opportunity for informed revision of the report prior to its distribution.

If this is done right, and if this type of vote fraud was practiced on a large scale in key states in this election, I believe that we should be able to prove this conclusively.

Mods, do you think this could be put in the Help and Support forum as well? I'd like as many people as possible to see this.

Oh, and if anyone would like to private message me with any info, please do.