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All my life I have favored broader unity, not disunity, and so have not considered dissolution of the American union as anything worth considering. However, this election has caused me to reconsider. I am still for democratic world government as the ultimate goal. However, America as it is will never enter into a world community, both because doing so would give up power, and the powerful never give up power willingly, and because a developing world community could not welcome a power that would dominate it. America as it is is too big a lump for a world community to chew. Moreover, as long as we are an imperial power, we will never have a rational politics. It is only post-empire that the European countries have moved away from fascism and jingoism to progressivism and community: It would be unreasonable "American exceptionalism" to suppose that we will be otherwise. But a country as big as we are is always subject to the imperial temptation. These considerations lead me to believe that there is more hope in the dissolution of the American union into three to a dozen smaller countries that would be more liveable neighbors in the world. To be sure, we have something to gain by secession. Discussions of the possibility of California seceding have pointed out that California would be better off without the burden of paying taxes to support all those subsidies and port-barrel military operations in the red states. California is not unique.
Let us consider the implications of the joint secession of the northeastern states from the Potomac northward, and their reconstitution as a new nation. We may call it the Atlantic Federation, or Atlantica for short. The Atlantica I envision would be a federation of twelve states:
1 Connecticut 2 Delaware 3 District of Columbia 4 Maine 5 Maryland 6 Massachusetts 7 New Hampshire 8 New Jersey 9 New York 10 Pennsylvania 11 Rhode Island 12 Vermont
Atlantica would have a population just under 60 million. That is 22nd in the world, between France and Italy, and roughly double that of California or Canada. Atlantica would have a gross domestic product of about two and one quarter trillion dollars, making it the fourth largest in the world, after Japan, the rump "United States" (henceforward "Rump States") and Germany. Assuming California were to secede also, California would then be seventh, after (in addition) France and the United Kingdom, and the Rump States would be second after Japan. Atlantica would have a GDP per capita in the neighborhood of $40,000, making it second in the world to Luxembourg. California would be close behind, though. These data are for 2000 and use constant dollars of 1996 purchasing power, mostly from the Census Bureau. In those terms, Atlantica beat out California by a light lunch: the difference was 13.50 per head.
In short, Atlantica would be a nation to reckon with, and on a par with the bigger European nations.
I won't say much more now about how and what to do, but just this: I would hope to see a new Atlantic Federation approach the European Community for membership, with a commitment to join the Euro. That would, of course, change the European community fundamentally – into, in fact, something of an emerging world community – and Europeans might not welcome that at first. Looser association satisfactory to our European friends should be sought, if necessary, as a preliminary step. On the other side, Atlantica should seek close association and alliance, but not political union, with California and any other breakaways from the rump states. The idea is to break North America into lumps digestible to a world community. Political reunion of Atlantica with other breakaways should wait until the world community can form. Meanwhile, association on the European Community model should be considered, if direct accession to the Community is not possible. Canada, in particular, may not welcome the embrace of a new Atlantic nation with double her population; but with California, and perhaps some other breakaways, as counterweights, might be confortable in a closer North American association as a counterweight to the Rump States.
Obviously, this leaves many important points untouched. However, I suggest there is enough here to suggest the idea ought to be seriously considered.
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