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Final State and Pre-hacked Exit Polls Match: Average Deviation = - 0.18%

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:06 PM
Original message
Final State and Pre-hacked Exit Polls Match: Average Deviation = - 0.18%
Edited on Thu Nov-18-04 10:07 PM by TruthIsAll
Median deviation: -.05%
Standard deviation: 3.025%
Kerry was leading in BOTH the pre-election and exit polls.



The deviations were spread around the -.05% median:
No bias to Bush. No bias to Kerry.

The bias to Bush began with the POST-MIDNIGHT adjustmnets made to the exit polls to match the late Bush "surge".

Zogby was right on. So was Mitofsky. Despite their claims to the contrary. All we are hearing is that the Exit Polls were wrong. Well, this proves otherwise.

If the published polls were right, then so were the exit polls. Kerry WON.


State Deviation
1 VT -8.01
2 AK -6.02
3 NH -5.40
4 UT -4.69
5 DE -4.28
6 NY -3.63
7 OK -3.54
8 DC -3.36
9 HI -3.30
10 CT -3.18
11 RI -3.13
12 SC -2.70
13 NE -2.34
14 PA -1.72
15 MD -1.33
16 NM -1.30
17 MT -1.04
18 IN -0.79
19 WA -0.78
20 IL -0.75
21 OH -0.55
22 AL -0.37
23 MN -0.33
24 MO -0.19
25 CA -0.15
26 WY -0.05
27 KY 0.05
28 NC 0.14
29 ID 0.21
30 AZ 0.37
31 CO 0.37
32 NV 0.65
33 LA 0.95
34 NJ 1.01
35 FL 1.04
36 MI 1.11
37 WI 1.18
38 ME 1.43
39 TX 1.54
40 GA 1.68
41 MS 1.91
42 OR 1.99
43 VA 2.33
44 IA 2.54
45 KS 3.14
46 WV 3.27
47 AR 3.40
48 MA 4.33
49 ND 4.89
50 SD 6.93
51 TN 7.23





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Zorra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 10:28 PM
Response to Original message
1. Thank you so much for all the statistics.
I have all the threads bookmarked.

Hopefully, some statistician from MIT or wherever will see this, crunch the numbers, concur with you, and get the media to pick up on it.

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 07:21 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. It will happen.They already have in my earlier posts,
tia
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Silverhair Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 07:25 AM
Response to Original message
3. The final Mason-Dixon poll had Bush ahead.
And almost all the national polls showed Bush in the lead. You are picking only the polls you like and ignoring the ones you don't like.
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Brundle_Fly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 08:02 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. these are the exit polls....
of the voters....not the gallop shite you are thinking about.
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proudbluestater Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 08:21 AM
Response to Original message
5. Read something interesting last night...
The Republican senate seats that they just gained? The exit polls for those races were correct THE ENTIRE TIME the presidency in the battleground numbers were being screwed around with.
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