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Battleground States Avg EXIT poll DEVIATION from FINAL state polls: 0.48%

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 08:12 AM
Original message
Battleground States Avg EXIT poll DEVIATION from FINAL state polls: 0.48%
Edited on Fri Nov-19-04 09:01 AM by TruthIsAll
Battleground States: Exit poll deviations from final state polls
Pre- and exit pollsters agree: Kerry won! THAT IS, BEFORE THE POST-MIDNIGHT EXIT POLL SHENANIGANS.

Question for state pollsters (Zogby, ARG, etc.):
How come you guys never claimed, like Mitofsky does, that YOUR poll samples were heavily weighted to women?

Deviation statistics:

average 0.48%
median 0.51%
stddev 1.93%





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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 08:22 AM
Response to Original message
1. "final" means the ones adjusted so as to best fit vote totals?
Edited on Fri Nov-19-04 08:24 AM by papau
I know it is a standard procedure - but it results in silly ? implications as to the composition of the late voters.

or are these the 4pm or 6pm exit polls versus normal polls?
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 08:58 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. These are 4pm exit polls vs. final published state polls
tia
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 10:15 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. thanks
:-)
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 10:28 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. They are percentage deviations in the two-party vote: Kerry/(Kerry+Bush)
Just want to be clear on that. Its the seamless way to compare the deviations.

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