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Won't Kerry be pretty tough to beat in New Hampshire?

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NNN0LHI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:25 PM
Original message
Won't Kerry be pretty tough to beat in New Hampshire?
Crikey! Its his neighbor state and he has Ted Kennedy's support. I don't see how anyone can beat him there. Including Bush. What do you think?

Don

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Dookus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
1. I think you're right....
this will give Kerry a huge boost in NH, and may well hurt Dean.
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BeatleBoot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. Anyone can be beat...
And Kerry will have to earn NH

And he's got the goods to do it!

Stay tuned!
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meow mix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:28 PM
Response to Original message
3. yes kerry is officially scary
the dean killer, eeps!

but i have uber confidence in the general.
*crosses fingers* =)
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:36 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Kerry could beat Clark in NH, but then it goes south..
That still fits with the Clark strategy. Still, if Clark comes in second in NH against a favorite son, he still wins.
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The Magistrate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:30 PM
Response to Original message
4. Yes, My Friend, He Will Be
He is a local boy, and it is pecularistic region, even more so than the south. For that reason, a victory for him there will be devalued by analysis; already factored in the market, so to speak.

The next real battle will be in the southern and midwestern big state primaries. These will be a battle between Gen. Clark, sen. Kerry, and Sen. Edwards, all of whom have sound prospects in the coming fall. Gov. Dean, peace to his many adherents here, has been knocked out in the first skirmishing....

"LET'S GO GET THOSE BUSH BASTARDS!"
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:35 PM
Response to Original message
5. Yes, he will be tough to beat in NH.
nt
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Blitz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:37 PM
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7. Kerry has to be the favorite in New Hampshire now
However, if Edwards can stay in the top 3 with a solid (20%+) showing, he'll be a real force as the race moves south. This is still wide open. All we know right now is that Gephardt is done and Dean is very much on the ropes. If Dean doesn't do well in New Hampshire, he's in real trouble. His campaign runs on forward momentum and, without it, he'll have a problem (especially in the Southern states).

The questions:

Who will Gephardt endorse and when will he endorse them? This can be VERY important.

How will Clark and Lieberman do in NH? Kerry and Edwards' big wins are a mixed bag for them. They love seeing Dean hobbled but Kerry coming in strong is a lot to deal with. It's hard to be the anti-Dean when there already is one.

Will Dean finish in the top 3 in NH? If he doesn't, will he remain in the race (he still has a lot of money)?

Will Dean's and Kucinich's results spur a Green party movement?

How do Gore & Moseley-Braun (among others) feel about their political futures at the moment?
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arcos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:41 PM
Response to Original message
8. Yes... Kerry is the frontrunner again... n/t
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:43 PM
Response to Original message
9. Yes
but I was already figuring this.
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arewethereyet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:44 PM
Response to Original message
10. I would think so but not in a walk
I expect it to be rather close.
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curse10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:44 PM
Response to Original message
11. It will give him a giant boost!
Plus, I'm going there to go door to door! No one will be able to resist my charm! :P
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sistersofmercy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:46 PM
Response to Original message
12. I predict Kerry will be the winner in NH. n/t
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Feanorcurufinwe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:47 PM
Response to Original message
13. He's still the underdog in NH in the polls, but with the glow of a winner.
It's the perfect position to be in.

The media will eat it up.
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HazMat Donating Member (318 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:51 PM
Response to Original message
14. very tough
The Kerry train will roll in to NH and the people of New England will remember why they loved him for 30+ years.

I see Clark, not Dean as Kerry's main competition in NH. Dean was pummeled tonight and the press will be very bad .. IMO Dean's bubble has officially burst.
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jpgpenn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 09:54 PM
Response to Original message
15. Tough? why after his dismal performance for the past 7 months.
He was the area leading man, they shewed him aside. Why would they now show him more support. He is the same man with the same message they have been rejecting.
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Kat45 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-19-04 10:02 PM
Response to Original message
16. This certainly does give Kerry a boost in NH
and perhaps takes Dean down a few pegs there as well. I think Clark can still do well there: he's been campaigning hard in the state, and the impression I get is that the more people see and hear him, the more they like him. Yes Kerry is local, but...

I'm from Mass, and although Kerry is a good senator, he's never really excited people. I know some (non-political) folks who absolutely hate him for various reasons. And I know some (political) folks who won't vote for him because of the IWR. And I'm sure that a number of folks in NH consider him way too liberal. So yes, he should do very well in NH, but perhaps not as well as people are now expecting.
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