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Any post-caucus New Hampshire poll numbers up yet?

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WilliamPitt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-20-04 09:24 AM
Original message
Any post-caucus New Hampshire poll numbers up yet?
The Des Moines Register poll on Sunday was eerily accurate. I hope they do polls for the other states...but that's just silly now.

Any numbers yet for New Hampshire?
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-20-04 09:30 AM
Response to Original message
1. ARG numbers in NH through yesterday
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Lady President Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-20-04 09:33 AM
Response to Original message
2. Late tonight or tomorrow
We'll probably have to wait until later tonight or tomorrow to see if there's a post-caucus bounce. It was probably too late to do much polling on the east coast after the results were announced. (Note: Something may come out this morning, but I think tomorrow will be more accurate.)

It may be silly, but I want polls for other states too. A couple weeks ago there was an extensive poll of Ohio voters that dominated our papers. At that time Kerry was #5 or #6 and Edwards below him. I would love an update.
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displacedtexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-20-04 09:33 AM
Response to Original message
3. ARG tracking
http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/demtrack/

However, this is probably old news today, and I don't know how accurate the ARG was in Iowa.
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thalerd Donating Member (28 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-20-04 09:41 AM
Response to Original message
4. The ARG
The numbers were reported at about 8pm Monday, so they don't reflect Gephardt dropping out, Dean's speech, or the folks who haven't read the news yet. As of then, the standings were:

Dean in first
Clark and Kerry tied for second
Edwards in a distant third with only 8%
Lieberman on Edwards' heals at 7%
13% still undecided

Presumably, Dean's polls will drop and Kerry and Edwards will increase. Depending on how far Dean drops, it will either be Clark-Kerry or Dean-Clark-Kerry as the initial "front runners."

Here's the link:

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/demtrack/
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-20-04 01:17 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Hi thalerd!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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Feanorcurufinwe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-20-04 01:30 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. They don't reflect Iowa at all, they were conducted prior to the caucus
and they also show Kerry moving into second ahead of Clark.



Beyond Ballot Preference - January 20, 2004

The interviews for January 19 were completed before the results from Iowa were known.

The pre-Iowa trends show that Howard Dean has remained steady at 27% or 28% while Wesley Clark has dropped 5 percentage points and John Kerry has gained 5 percentage points (mainly from Clark). An Iowa bounce could put Kerry in front of Dean.
http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/demtrack/



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