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bearfartinthewoods Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-21-04 08:41 AM
Original message
Cspan..bostn globe poll shows kerry lead?


did i just hear that right? i checked the website but they show an AP poll about iowa. did anyone else hear that?
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bearfartinthewoods Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-21-04 08:43 AM
Response to Original message
1. zogby say sdean holds 2 pt lead and edwards tie lieberman
1/21/2004

Dean 25

Kerry 23

Clark 16

Edwards 7

Lieberman 7

Kucinich 2

Sharpton 0.1

Undecided 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

May not add up to 100%, due to rounding
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maddezmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-21-04 08:43 AM
Response to Original message
2. listening too
one of the polls shows Kerry leading and the other Dean. But missed the names of the polls, sorry.
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Dookus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-21-04 08:46 AM
Response to Original message
3. given the latest stats I've seen...
I expect Kerry to win NH. That was unthinkable two weeks ago.

I'll predict now that the order will be Kerry (33%), Dean (22%) and Clark (20%).

I'll have a better prediction this weekend ;)
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onehandle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-21-04 08:48 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. I believe your current numbers are on the money....
Edited on Wed Jan-21-04 08:49 AM by onehandle
If anything, reverse Dean and Clark's numbers.
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bearfartinthewoods Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-21-04 08:49 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. yo are brave, making pedictions before the most important
debate of the cycle.
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Fabio Donating Member (929 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-21-04 08:55 AM
Response to Original message
6. JK in the lead in New Hampshire Poll - but Dean still within MOE
WBZ/Globe poll. As far as I know, it is NOT a tracking (ie 3 day running average poll) like the Zogby. All things being equal, JK should theoritically begin to pull ahead in Zogby in two days, when all the data points are post Iowa. We'll see though.

The Globe Poll,, very buoying for JK peeps like myself, can be found referenced in the text here:

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/primaries/new_hampshire/articles/2004/01/21/the_candidates_hit_nh_running_hard/
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DancingBear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-21-04 08:57 AM
Response to Original message
7. I think this will happen
Edited on Wed Jan-21-04 09:00 AM by DancingBear
I'll be in NH through the primary, but predicated on the Kerry bounce and the Dean primal scream I'll venture the final numbers will look like this:

Kerry - 33%

Clark - 24%

Dean - 23%

Edwards - 13%

Lieberman - 5%

Kucinich - 2%

I am so far out on the limb I can't even see the tree trunk. :)
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maddezmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-21-04 09:01 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. "I am so far out on the limb I can't even see the tree trunk. :)"
ROTFLMAO....that's a funny line. :)
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