California Primary Poll: Battle between Kerry and Dean

[WI_DEM]

First, it is clear John Kerry has emerged strongly from Iowa not only in NH polls but nationally. California will have an important upcoming primary with a load of delegates to the convention. If Dean survives NH and goes on a new Survey-USA poll indicates the fight for the California will be close:

Kerry: 31%
Dean 26%
Clark 14%
Edwards 12%

Good job, John Kerry in movement in California especially since only a couple of weeks ago he was running behind Clark for fourth. Good job, Howard Dean, it looks like even after the Iowa loss and the negative reaction about his concession speech in Iowa--Dean still has solid support in California--this poll was done prior to the Prime Time interview with Diane Sawyer.

I'm beginning to honestly think that if this continues to be a competitive primary that for the first time since 1960 we might have a situation where no one arrives at the convention with enough delegates to nominate. Then things would really get interesting.

http://www.surveyusa.com/

[Frances]

1. I think every situation has its positive and negative points

The positive point is that this contest at the convention would generate free publicity for the Dems who are at a severe disadvantage in the media (Bush's money, the right wing ownership of the media from the tabloids to the radio stations to TV).

If the Dems can stay positive about each other, and attack Bush, that would be the best way for any one of them to beat Bush in the general election.

I hope the best candidate wins, but I also hope that the media's attempt to "Gore" Dean because of the "scream" fails. The reason I hope this is that if the media can "Gore" Dean, it will be able to "Gore" whoever is our final candidate.

[David__77]

2. I distrust "SurveyUSA" polls.

The organization's press releases have a rightist slant, and I even saw a poster on "Free Republic" claiming to be a leading figure in the organization, though the latter point cannot of course be trusted. But at times their figures are wildly different than other polling groups, though very close to a race they tend to converge with the other polls.