Suffolk University Tracking Poll results for 1/25/03

[WI_DEM]

John Kerry is extending his lead. Howard Dean is not losing, but not gaining any new ground and is firmly in second. Wesley Clark is falling 3-points for the third day in a row and is in jeapardy of losing third place to John Edwards. These are the results of the latest tracking poll by Suffolk University:

Kerry: 36%
Dean : 20%
Clark: 11%
Edwards 8%
Lieberman 6%
Kucinich 1%
Sharpton 1%
Undecided: 17%

http://www.suffolk.edu/suprc/pres/jan25_04/update.html

Kerry is doing well with nearly every demographic area. Interestingly, Dean is doing best with union households and has an 8-point lead and is running second among veteran households--Clark has slipped to third with this group as well as male voters.

**CAUTION: all these pollsters are proclaiming who will come in first or second, ect on Tuesday, but NH primary polls are notorious for being off on election day. Why? Independent voters are the biggest voting bloc in the state and can vote in either primary and because Bush has no opposition it is expected that they will swell to the Dem. primary and that could alter results. For instance, in '00 Bush had a lead in NH over McCain, but due to a large independent turnout McCain won NH by 18-points.

[Guaranteed]

1. Right these are just the Democratic voters

Indies will change the results, for sure, one way or another. Although Zogby is saying that Kerry has a lead among indies, too.

[WI_DEM]

2. is the new Zogby out for today?

eom.

[Guaranteed]

4. Don't see one yet.

The one he has up was there late Friday night.

[GR]

9. Here It Is...

If the primary were held today, for whom would you vote?

Kerry 30%

Dean 23%

Clark 13%

Edwards 9%

Lieberman 9%

Kucinich 2%

Sharpton 1%

Someone else 2%

Not sure 13%

[jenk]

10. a lot of the indies are repug leaners who want Dean to win

so they can have a 50 state sweep in 04, we can't let that happen.

[JI7]

3. dean is second among veterans ?

am i reading this right ? dean leads clark when it comes to veterans ? they mean military vets, right ? and i'm assuming kerry is first among them. but i still find this a bit hard to believe. because clark has a longer military career than kerry so i would expect him to lead a bit more than kerry among them. but it's hard to believe he is behind dean on this. are there any other polls to back this up ?

[bearfartinthewoods]

6. your question leads me to believe that you think veterans

automatically back veterans and the higher the rank the more they support them. i think that's a bit insulting to veterans. they have minds and can evaluate the total package as well as any of us.

[JI7]

7. no, i mean because clark has been in there

longer than kerry. but kerry has done a lot for veterans after he left the military so i shouldn't be too surprised at his support. but it's not uncommon for people to vote with those they identify with in some ways, especially without great policy differences. why do you think clark and edwards are seen as doing good in the south ? it has nothing to do with lack of intelligence of thinking.

[izzie]

8. I am with you on this.

It is like the Vietnam thing. I lived in the middle of the service life in the 60's and the service was as mush off that war as the general public. After all we saw the hospitals filled up when the govt. said things were going so well.Yet we were still being sent over to fight. Scuttlebutt was do not wear your uniform if you protest this war. Friends were openly talking about sending their children to Canada.Children of service men. I feel the men who were their were good and brave but I do not fell the same about the govt. of those years.

[isbister]

5. Wow

Even the "fair and balanced" tv station sponsored poll has Kerry with a lead.