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the point about conspiracy theories is you need evidence of a specific conspiracy. There is the sense of an Administration hardly above that -- but it's not necessarily as easy as you think.
First, these memos are not turning the tide of war and peace the way you seem to believe. The course of the war is mainly what makes the difference. Remember back in April/May 2004? It seemed Bush was a goner and the war truly unsellable. Well ... One thing is that when you are pushing something hard, is that bad news and such now or in small doses can immunize; already the notion is that the fact that the whole war is grounded upon lies is old hat. Key thing was Bush's "victory" in 2004 accompanied by a media lockdown of Votergate. Bush is maneuvering for (1) entrenching the conservatives AND THEIR AGENDA for as long as possible, immunizing it from public opinion as much as possible; and (2) pushing for as much as possible, the biggest and most unreversible possible tax cuts for the rich, the greatest possible privatization and fiscal undermining of Social Security, pushing as much of Social Security as possible on to the poorest classes possible. He is a true believer in class warfare, on behalf of the ruling class. Nothing whatsoever authentic about his protestations of corporatist concern for the downtrodden and repressed. That's the Lord Mansfieldian approach.
On Iraq, consider this. Consider Iran. The US is in Afghanistan, has a client ("ally") in Uzbekistan, is in Iraq and is building FOURTEEN permanent military bases there, has a major base in Qatar. Is this all coincidence? No it's strategic geopolitics. That is the game their playing. And they are playing to win. I'll give this president and his Administration credit for one thing, they don't play to lose (like Kerry and the Dems did, as required in the real America). They play to win, honestly or no. And they have always gotten at least the policies they wanted and there are no forces out there -- not a craven media, not a serious and strong enough US mass peace movement, not Congress or the Court system, not in the international community. On the other hand, there's all this national debt. Well, America and the world may get screwed, but at least W and his friends plan to be doing the screwing
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