Electoral Vote Majorities for the future:

[AX10]

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/archives/001192.php

"Frey projects that those 13 Southern states would cast 173 electoral college votes after 2010, and account for 186 after the 2030 census. If Republicans can still sweep the South at that point, Democrats would need to win a daunting 77% of the remaining votes to construct a majority.

Victories in the West might temporarily help Democrats offset the South's rising influence. But it doesn't seem a long-term solution.

I don't dispute this. Democrats can't afford to cede the entire south to the opposing team, especially given that its share of the nation's EVs will be increasing. That just gives them too little margin for error in the rest of the country."

-- must disagree that the entire south is unwinnable. Florida, Virginia, and North Carolina's demographics are shifting to the point that they will someday be Blue States too.