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JCMach1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:53 AM
Original message
NH Predictions
Here is mine


Kerry 32%
Dean 30%
Edwards 12%
Clark 11
Kucinich 5%
Lieberman 5%
Others: Whatever is left...

Predictions:

Kerry moves on for a REAL fight in Feb. Dean is back in the saddle. Edwards is still in the race. Lieberman is done and Clark is on life support.
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shawmut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:59 AM
Response to Original message
1. If it is that close between Kerry and Dean
Edited on Mon Jan-26-04 03:00 AM by slim
than i don't think you'll see either of them getting out of the mid-20% range. Clark and Edwards are not going to get those kind of low numbers imo.
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La_Serpiente Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 03:02 AM
Response to Original message
2. I am agreement with your prediction
If Dean does not come in first, he will come in a strong second.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 03:11 AM
Response to Original message
3. Deleted message
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delhurgo Donating Member (500 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 03:24 AM
Response to Original message
4. Ok, I'll give it a go.
I was totally off on Iowa. I had it Gephardt, Dean, Kerry, Edwards. I shouldn't have listened to all that bs about 'organization'. There is one thing I may have got right though. I though Dean may not do as well as everyone thought because I felt Deaniacs would not be dependable. It's the same thing I saw in Naderites, and why he did so poorly as well. Many are very young and go to the meetups and speeches more for the entertainment value and because theres a 60s-like, anti-authority atmosphere. Dean is 'cool'. But many of these people don't show up on election day. Many of them probably never even voted before. I think Dean polls artificially high because of this. I'm gonna guess that the same thing will occur in NH. Dean is coming back a little, but I'll say 1. Kerry 37% 2. Dean 20% 3. Edwards 16% 4. Clark 14% 5. Lieberman 10%.
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isbister Donating Member (902 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 04:42 AM
Response to Original message
5. mine
Kerry 45%
Dean 16%
Edwards 16%
Clark 14%
Lieberman 8%
Kucinich 1%
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Lexingtonian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 05:34 AM
Response to Original message
6. NH

Kerry 43%
Dean 19%
Edwards 18%
Clark 14%
Lieberman 5%
Kucinich 1%
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JCMach1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 01:47 PM
Response to Original message
7. KICK
Before someone starts another one...

Put your predictions for tomorrow here.
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HFishbine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 01:58 PM
Response to Original message
8. Very close to mine
Dean: 34
Kerry: 33
Clark: 13
Edwards: 12
Lieberman: 4
Kucinich: 1
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ModerateMiddle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:01 PM
Response to Original message
9. I'll play
Kerry 41%
Dean 23%
Edwards 17%
Clark 10%
Lieberman 7%
Other 2%

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robsul82 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:02 PM
Response to Original message
10. Here we go.
Dean - 36%
Kerry - 33%
Lieberman - 12%
Edwards - 10%
Clark - 8%
Kucinich - 3%
Sharpton - 1%

Later.

RJS
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Blitz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:15 PM
Response to Reply #10
17. 103%, huh?
Only in Illinois and Louisiana :-)
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Nederland Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:06 PM
Response to Original message
11. I'll Play
Kerry 34%
Dean 28%
Edwards 18%
Clark 9%
Lieberman 5%
Kucinich 1%
Others: Whatever is left...


BTW, who won Iowa bragging rights?
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TLM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:11 PM
Response to Original message
12. Here's mine....


Dean 30%
Kerry 28%
Edwards 14%
Cark 12%
Lieberan 8%
Kucinich 5%
SHarpton 3%


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OhioStateProgressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:14 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. mine
Edited on Mon Jan-26-04 02:15 PM by OhioStateProgressive
Kerry 30%
Dean 22%
Edwards 16%
Clark 14%
Lieberman 10%
Kucinich 8%
Sharpton *
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Blitz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:13 PM
Response to Original message
13. Here you go
Kerry 41%
Dean 16%
Lieberman 15%
Clark 13%
Edwards 12%
Kucinich 1%
Sharpton 0%

Other and percentage points making up the remaining 2%.

Kerry the big winner, Dean and Clark the big losers, Lieberman revitalized, Edwards still viable heading to South Carolina and the rest of Dixie.
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John_H Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:14 PM
Response to Original message
14. Kerry 28 Clark 21 Dean 18 Edwards 14 Lieberman 10
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:14 PM
Response to Original message
16. well I blew it in Iowa, but I'm an optimist so here goes...
In a stunning comeback Dean wins the NH primary!!

Dean: 28%
Kerry: 27%
Edwards 18%
Clark 15%
Lieberman 9%
Kucinich 2%
Sharpton 1%
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feckerman Donating Member (79 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-26-04 02:20 PM
Response to Original message
18. Dean and Kerry
Kerry 29%
Dean 27%
Edwards 15%
Clark 13%
Lieberman 10%
rest rest rest
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